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Beliefs about what types of mechanisms produce random sequences

Dados Bibliográficos

ID12166327
AutoresDeborah S Blinder (Princeton University), Daniel M Oppenheimer (0000-0002-2363-4220, Princeton University, autor correspondente)
Ano2008
Volume21
Fascículo4
Páginas414-427
Data de publicação2008-03-31
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Behavioral Decision Making (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0894-3257 • E-ISSN: 1099-0771
EditoraWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/bdm.596
OpenAlexW2149197132
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas1
Referências citadas24

Although many researchers use Wagenaar's framework for understanding the factors that people use to determine whether a process is random, the framework has never undergone empirical scrutiny. This paper uses Wagenaar's framework as a starting point and examines the three properties of his framework—independence of events, fixed alternatives, and equiprobability. We find strong evidence to suggest that independence of events is indeed used as a cue toward randomness. Equiprobability has an effect on randomness judgments. However, it appears to work only in a limited role. Fixedness of alternatives is a complex construct that consists of multiple sub‐concepts. We find that each of these sub‐concepts influences randomness judgments, but that they exert forces in different directions. Stability of outcome ratios increases randomness judgments, while knowledge of outcome ratios decreases randomness judgments. Future directions for development of a functional framework for understanding perceptions of randomness are suggested. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

Construct (python library · Econometrics · Epistemology · Independence (probability theory · Mathematical economics · Outcome (game theory · Perception · Political science · Process (computing · Randomness · Range (aeronautics · Scrutiny · Statistics · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Mathematics · Psychology of Moral and Emotional Judgment · Sports Analytics and Performance

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Obras citantes distintas1
Citações por ano0,06
Intervalo de citações2009 - 2009 (1)
Velocidade de citaçãohistorical
Altamente citadoNão
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