Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Transparency and integrated assessment modeling

Dados Bibliográficos

ID12929318
AutoresJim Skea (0000-0003-1573-4763, Imperial College London, autor correspondente), P R Shukla (0000-0002-7305-2907, Ahmedabad University), Alaa Al Khourdajie (0000-0003-1376-7529, Imperial College London), David Mccollum (0000-0001-8716-6852), David L McCollum (0000-0003-1293-0179, Electric Power Research Institute)
Ano2021
Volume12
Fascículo5
Data de publicação2021-07-08
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799
EditoraWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/wcc.727
OpenAlexW3177554272
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas10
Referências citadas28

Integrated assessment models (IAMs) connect trends in future socioeconomic and technological development with impacts on the environment, such as global climate change. They occupy a critical position at the global science‐policy interface. IAMs and associated scenarios have come under intense scrutiny, with critiques addressing both methodological and substantive issues, such as land use, carbon dioxide removal and technology performance. Criticisms have also addressed the transparency of IAM methods and assumptions as well as the transparency of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment of IAMs. This paper, authored by the co‐chairs of IPCC Working Group III and members of the Technical Support Unit, documents activities aiming to enhance the transparency of IAMs and their assessment. It includes a history of IPCC's approach to scenarios covering the formation of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) in 2007 and the emergence of the approach by which IPCC facilitates the development of scenarios, but does not produce them itself. An IPCC Expert Meeting at the start of the current assessment cycle made transparency recommendations targeted at both the research community and IPCC. The community has taken steps to “open the black box” by moving toward open‐source and web‐publishing IAM documentation. IPCC has included an Annex to its next report focusing on scenarios and modeling methodologies. An open call for scenario data linked to the current IPCC report includes an expanded set of input and output variables. This paper ends with suggested criteria for measuring the success of these efforts to improve transparency. This article is categorized under: Integrated Assessment of Climate Change > Applications of Integrated Assessment to Climate Change Integrated Assessment of Climate Change > Integrated Assessment Modeling

Climate change · Documentation · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Impact assessment · Political science · Scrutiny · Transparency (behavior · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Computer Science · Environmental Impact and Sustainability · Environmental Science · Global Energy and Sustainability Research · Public Administration