From AI vibrancy to labour market outcomes

Testing displacement across education groups

Dados Bibliográficos

ID13022331
AutoresAleksandra Kuzior (0000-0001-9764-5320, autor correspondente), Izabela Marszałek-Kotzur, Khalima Sansyzbayeva (0000-0002-9992-4005), Eszter Lukács (0000-0001-6066-6881)
Ano2025
Volume18
Fascículo4
Páginas131-131
Data de publicação2025-12-29
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoEconomics & Sociology (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 2071-789X • E-ISSN: 2306-3459
EditoraCentre of Sociological Research, NGO (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.14254/2071-789x.2025/18-4/7
OpenAlexW7124921409
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas56

Artificial intelligence is expanding rapidly, intensifying policy concerns that more vibrant AI ecosystems may displace workers and increase unemployment. This study aims to test whether national AI vibrancy is associated with higher unemployment across education groups (advanced, intermediate and basic). Using an unbalanced panel of 34–35 countries from 2017 to 2023, the analysis combines Stanford’s AI Vibrancy Score with World Bank indicators and estimates two-way fixed- and random-effects models, employing Box–Cox/log transformations and dependence-robust inference (including country/time clustering and Driscoll–Kraay standard errors). The results provide little support for the displacement hypothesis. For advanced-education unemployment, AI vibrancy is statistically insignificant in the two-way FE model. It remains insignificant under all robust corrections (ln(AI vibrancy): β = −0.099, country-clustered p = 0.494, time-clustered p = 0.544, Driscoll–Kraay p = 0.468). For basic-education unemployment, AI vibrancy is likewise insignificant in the two-way FE model (p = 0.782). It remains insignificant under country clustering (p = 0.830), time clustering (p = 0.813) and Driscoll–Kraay inference (p = 0.819). For intermediate-education unemployment, the AI coefficient remains insignificant under country clustering (p = 0.273), time clustering (p = 0.310), and Driscoll–Kraay corrections (p = 0.226), indicating no robust unemployment-increasing effect across education groups during the observed period

Cluster analysis · Displacement (psychology · Higher education · Inference · Panel data · Unemployment · Digital Economy and Work Transformation · Economic and Technological Innovation · Ethics and Social Impacts of AI