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Influence of Absolute Humidity, Temperature and Population Density on Covid-19 Spread and Decay Durations

Multi-Prefecture Study in Japan

Dados Bibliográficos

ID15501063
AutoresEssam A Rashed (0000-0001-6571-9807, Suez Canal University), Sachiko Kodera (0000-0001-6595-0742, Nagoya Institute of Technology), José Gómez-Tames (0000-0003-1917-8979, Nagoya Institute of Technology), Akimasa Hirata (0000-0001-8336-1140, Nagoya Institute of Technology, autor correspondente)
Ano2020
Volume17
Fascículo15
Páginas5354-5354
Data de publicação2020-07-24
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
EditoraMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph17155354
PMID32722294
OpenAlexW3044533980
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas20
Referências citadas14

This study analyzed the spread and decay durations of the COVID-19 pandemic in different prefectures of Japan. During the pandemic, affordable healthcare was widely available in Japan and the medical system did not suffer a collapse, making accurate comparisons between prefectures possible. For the 16 prefectures included in this study that had daily maximum confirmed cases exceeding ten, the number of daily confirmed cases follow bell-shape or log-normal distribution in most prefectures. A good correlation was observed between the spread and decay durations. However, some exceptions were observed in areas where travelers returned from foreign countries, which were defined as the origins of infection clusters. Excluding these prefectures, the population density was shown to be a major factor, affecting the spread and decay patterns, with R 2 = 0.39 ( p p R 2 > 0.36, p R 2 = 0.53, p -value < 0.05), could prove useful for intervention planning during potential future pandemics, including a second COVID-19 outbreak

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19 · Geography · Meteorology · Outbreak · Pandemic · Population · Population density · Relative humidity · Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2 · Statistics · COVID-19 and Mental Health · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts · Demography · Mathematics · Medicine · Virology

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Citações por ano3,33
Intervalo de citações2020 - 2025 (6)
Altamente citadoNão
Abrir DOIOpen Access
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