The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 15549463 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Laura J Wilcox (0000-0001-5691-1493, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, autor correspondente), E J Highwood (0000-0002-2460-2546, University of Reading), Nick Dunstone (0000-0001-6859-6814, Met Office), N J Dunstone |
| Ano | 2013 |
| Volume | 8 |
| Fascículo | 2 |
| Páginas | 024033-024033 |
| Data de publicação | 2013-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Editora | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024033 |
| OpenAlex | W2152665751 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 10 |
| Referências citadas | 45 |
Analysis of single forcing runs from CMIP5 (the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) simulations shows that the mid-twentieth century temperature hiatus, and the coincident decrease in precipitation, is likely to have been influenced strongly by anthropogenic aerosol forcing. Models that include a representation of the indirect effect of aerosol better reproduce inter-decadal variability in historical global-mean near-surface temperatures, particularly the cooling in the 1950s and 1960s, compared to models with representation of the aerosol direct effect only. Models with the indirect effect also show a more pronounced decrease in precipitation during this period, which is in better agreement with observations, and greater inter-decadal variability in the inter-hemispheric temperature difference. This study demonstrates the importance of representing aerosols, and their indirect effects, in general circulation models, and suggests that inter-model diversity in aerosol burden and representation of aerosol–cloud interaction can produce substantial variation in simulations of climate variability on multi decadal timescales
Aerosol · Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Forcing (mathematics · General Circulation Model · Geography · Meteorology · Precipitation · Radiative forcing · Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Geology · Oceanography
Projected effects of declining anthropogenic aerosols on the southern annular mode
Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850–2100
The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system
Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation
Fingerprints of external forcings on Sahel rainfall
Are climate model simulations useful for forecasting precipitation trends? Hindcast and synthetic-data experiments
The contribution of anthropogenic influence to more anomalous extreme precipitation in Europe
Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions
Climate effects of China’s efforts to improve its air quality
Does statistical model perform at par with computationally expensive general circulation model for decadal prediction
Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates
The empirical mode decomposition and the Hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and non-stationary time series analysis
Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model
Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition
| Obras citantes distintas | 10 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 0,77 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2013 - 2021 (9) |
| Velocidade de citação | historical |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 10 |