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Countering autocratization in a contested liberal international order

Comparing the role of EU conditionality in Georgia (2022–2024) and Slovakia (1994–1998)

Dados Bibliográficos

ID19223291
AutoresAnastasia Mgaloblishvili (Freie Universität Berlin, autor correspondente)
Ano2026
Páginas1-30
Data de publicação2026-04-13
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of European Public Policy (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1350-1763 • E-ISSN: 1466-4429
EditoraRoutledge (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/13501763.2026.2657994
OpenAlexW7154001054
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas35

This paper analyzes the conditions under which EU conditionality can counter autocratization through a comparative case study of Slovakia (1994–1998) and Georgia (2022–2024). In both cases, the EU employed negative conditionality against autocratizing candidate states ahead of pivotal elections. Given high public support for EU integration and vibrant civil societies, EU’s ‘sticks’ created favourable conditions for public mobilisation. Drawing on participant observation and secondary sources, the paper shows that pro-democratic groups in both countries united around the EU and framed elections as referendums on European integration. Yet outcomes diverged: mobilisation contributed to government change and democratisation in Slovakia, but to regime survival and autocratization in Georgia. To explain this divergence, the paper highlights the contested liberal international order in which EU enlargement unfolds. In Slovakia, liberal consensus within the EU and weakness of autocratic hegemons facilitated the translation of mobilisation into government change and democratisation. In contrast, external support from Russia and Hungary, combined with entrenched domestic authoritarianism, enabled the Georgian Dream party to withstand domestic and international pressure. The findings refine differential-empowerment theory by identifying a favourable international environment as a scope condition under which EU conditionality is most likely to promote change through the societal channel

Conditionality · European union · Foreign policy · International relations · Work (physics) · European Union Policy and Governance · Global Socioeconomic and Political Dynamics · Post-Soviet Geopolitical Dynamics

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