Age, Period, and Cohort Effects on Migration of the Baby Boomers in Australia

Disentangling Age, Period, and Cohort Effects on Migration in Australia

Dados Bibliográficos

ID21175679
AutoresNikola Sanders (0000-0002-7176-6594, Austrian Academy of Sciences, autor correspondente), Martin Bell (0000-0001-9251-6773, The University of Queensland)
Ano2016
Volume22
Fascículo6
Páginas617-630
Data de publicação2016-08-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoPopulation Space and Place (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1544-8444 • E-ISSN: 1544-8452
EditoraWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/psp.1948
OpenAlexW1772332409
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas14
Referências citadas25

The distinctive migration behaviour of the baby boom generation is commonly attributed to cohort size effects, but evidence to date has been drawn primarily from the US context. This paper focuses on inter-cohort differences in the intensity and pattern of internal migration in Australia with particular attention to the Australian baby boomer generation as it has moved through the life course. A series of generalised linear models are fitted to migration flows to disentangle the effects of age, period, and birth cohort. The results demonstrate that age exerts the largest effect on migration intensity, with cohort effects playing a secondary role, while the effects of period are more subtle. In contrast of the US, cohort effects are not restricted to the baby boom but show a continuous upwards trend that plateaued briefly as the later baby boomers, born in the early 1960s, entered the labour force during rising unemployment in the 1980s. This divergence is traced to a much smaller demographic bulge created by the baby boom in Australia that was substantially enlarged by overseas migration in the 1960s. The findings underline the context-specific nature of mobility behaviour. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

Baby boom · Baby boomers · Boom · Cohort · Cohort effect · Demographic economics · Economics · Geography · Population · Sociology · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Demography · Engineering · Medicine · Migration, Aging, and Tourism Studies · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies