Toward Simulating Dire Wildfire Scenarios
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 21738434 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Thomas J Cova (0000-0002-4136-5140, Professor, Center for Natural and Technological Hazards, Dept. of Geography, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84108 (corresponding author), autor correspondente), Dapeng Li (0000-0002-3255-6084, South Dakota State University), Laura K Siebeneck (0000-0002-5972-0518, University of North Texas), Frank A Drews (0000-0003-4263-4602, University of Utah) |
| Ano | 2021 |
| Volume | 22 |
| Fascículo | 3 |
| Data de publicação | 2021-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Não |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | Natural Hazards Review (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 1527-6988 • E-ISSN: 1527-6996 |
| Editora | American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000474 |
| OpenAlex | W3153959096 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 2 |
| Referências citadas | 28 |
Recent extreme wildfires are motivating unprecedented evacuation planning. A critical need is to consider dire scenarios that allow less time to clear an area than required. Although these scenarios often begin with an ignition near a community, any scenario can become dire due to weather conditions, human response, technology, cascading events, and community design. Although research has widely addressed scenarios with ample time and favorable conditions, protecting people in dire scenarios is much more challenging. We provide a framework for generating dire scenarios that includes difficult starting conditions, delayed decision-making, variable fire spread rates, limited warning technology, and random adverse events. The goal is to move beyond favorable scenarios and generate challenging ones that inspire novel protective planning. A key finding is that minimizing losses in dire scenarios may involve disaster response elements not represented in current simulation models, including improvisation and altruism
Business · Climate change · Computer security · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Extreme weather · Geography · Meteorology · Natural disaster · Scenario planning · Warning system · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics · Fire effects on ecosystems · Flood Risk Assessment and Management
| Obras citantes distintas | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 0,5 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2022 - 2025 (4) |
| Velocidade de citação | recent |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 2 |