“In cities, it’s not far, but it takes long”
Comparing estimated and replicated travel times to reach life-saving obstetric care in Lagos, Nigeria
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 21880056 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Aduragbemi Banke-Thomas (0000-0002-4449-0131, Lagos State University, autor correspondente), Kerry LM Wong (0000-0002-4400-2257, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Francis Ifeanyi Ayomoh (0000-0002-1281-0049, Federal Ministry of Health), Rokibat Olabisi Giwa-Ayedun (Lagos State Health Service Commission), Lenka Beňová (0000-0001-8595-365X, Instituut voor Tropische Geneeskunde) |
| Ano | 2021 |
| Volume | 6 |
| Fascículo | 1 |
| Páginas | e004318 |
| Data de publicação | 2021-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | BMJ Global Health (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 2059-7908 • E-ISSN: 2059-7908 |
| Editora | BMJ (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004318 |
| PMID | 33495286 |
| OpenAlex | W3123271778 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 19 |
| Referências citadas | 31 |
BACKGROUND: Travel time to comprehensive emergency obstetric care (CEmOC) facilities in low-resource settings is commonly estimated using modelling approaches. Our objective was to derive and compare estimates of travel time to reach CEmOC in an African megacity using models and web-based platforms against actual replication of travel. METHODS: We extracted data from patient files of all 732 pregnant women who presented in emergency in the four publicly owned tertiary CEmOC facilities in Lagos, Nigeria, between August 2018 and August 2019. For a systematically selected subsample of 385, we estimated travel time from their homes to the facility using the cost-friction surface approach, Open Source Routing Machine (OSRM) and Google Maps, and compared them to travel time by two independent drivers replicating women's journeys. We estimated the percentage of women who reached the facilities within 60 and 120 min. RESULTS: The median travel time for 385 women from the cost-friction surface approach, OSRM and Google Maps was 5, 11 and 40 min, respectively. The median actual drive time was 50-52 min. The mean errors were >45 min for the cost-friction surface approach and OSRM, and 14 min for Google Maps. The smallest differences between replicated and estimated travel times were seen for night-time journeys at weekends; largest errors were found for night-time journeys at weekdays and journeys above 120 min. Modelled estimates indicated that all participants were within 60 min of the destination CEmOC facility, yet journey replication showed that only 57% were, and 92% were within 120 min. CONCLUSIONS: Existing modelling methods underestimate actual travel time in low-resource megacities. Significant gaps in geographical access to life-saving health services like CEmOC must be urgently addressed, including in urban areas. Leveraging tools that generate 'closer-to-reality' estimates will be vital for service planning if universal health coverage targets are to be realised by 2030
Business · Economics · Geography · Megacity · Names of the days of the week · Operations management · Sociology · Statistics · Transport engineering · Travel time · Demography · Engineering · Global Health and Surgery · Global Maternal and Child Health · Mathematics · Medicine · Trauma and Emergency Care Studies
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| Obras citantes distintas | 19 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 3,8 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2021 - 2026 (6) |
| Velocidade de citação | current |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 17 |