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Do agricultural commodity prices asymmetrically affect the performance of value-added agriculture? Evidence from Pakistan using a NARDL model

Dados Bibliográficos

ID22230511
AutoresUmair Kashif (0000-0001-6034-0371, Jiangsu University), Junguo Shi (0000-0001-7214-6867, Jiangsu University, autor correspondente), Snovia Naseem (0000-0002-2463-1048, Jiangsu University), Muhammad Ayaz (0000-0002-1818-9564, Jiangsu University), Rehan Sohail Butt (0000-0003-2582-8456, Jiangsu University), Waris Ali Khan (0000-0003-2988-7920, Universiti of Malaysia Sabah), Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan (0000-0003-1665-807X, University of Portsmouth)
Ano2023
Volume10
Fascículo1
Data de publicação2023-07-08
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoHumanities and Social Sciences Communications (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 2662-9992 • E-ISSN: 2662-9992
EditoraSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1057/s41599-023-01888-4
OpenAlexW4383619813
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas39

In the last few decades, rising prices of agricultural commodities have been an area of concern for most countries owing to high population growth, increased unemployment, and per capita food needs. The current study intends to examine the positive and negative shocks of agricultural product prices, credit disbursement, and the labor force’s impact on the agricultural growth of Pakistan. The nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) method was applied using secondary data sources from 1970 to 2018. The results revealed that positive and negative price shocks contribute positively to agriculture growth; however, positive price shock has a more stimulating effect than negative prices. Furthermore, credit disbursement and labor force significantly positively impact agricultural value added in the short and long run. Finally, the study’s findings have far-reaching consequences for policymakers dealing with Pakistan’s asymmetric relationship between agricultural credit disbursement, commodity prices, and agricultural growth

Agricultural economics · Agriculture · Commodity · Disbursement · Distributed lag · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Per capita · Population · Agricultural risk and resilience · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Finance

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