Containing Pandemic Influenza at the Source
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 23314174 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Ira M Longini (0000-0002-2780-9382, Emory University, autor correspondente), Azhar Nizam (0000-0001-9995-5920, Emory University), Shufu Xu (Emory University), Kumnuan Ungchusak (Emory University), Wanna Hanshaoworakul (Emory University), Derek A T Cummings (0000-0002-9437-1907, Emory University), M Elizabeth Halloran (0000-0002-3127-1757, Emory University) |
| Ano | 2005 |
| Volume | 309 |
| Fascículo | 5737 |
| Páginas | 1083-1087 |
| Data de publicação | 2005-08-12 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | Science (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 0036-8075 • E-ISSN: 0193-4511 |
| Editora | American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1126/science.1115717 |
| PMID | 16079251 |
| OpenAlex | W2162707016 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 72 |
| Referências citadas | 26 |
Highly pathogenic avian influenza A (subtype H5N1) is threatening to cause a human pandemic of potentially devastating proportions. We used a stochastic influenza simulation model for rural Southeast Asia to investigate the effectiveness of targeted antiviral prophylaxis, quarantine, and pre-vaccination in containing an emerging influenza strain at the source. If the basic reproductive number ( R 0 ) was below 1.60, our simulations showed that a prepared response with targeted antivirals would have a high probability of containing the disease. In that case, an antiviral agent stockpile on the order of 100,000 to 1 million courses for treatment and prophylaxis would be sufficient. If pre-vaccination occurred, then targeted antiviral prophylaxis could be effective for containing strains with an R 0 as high as 2.1. Combinations of targeted antiviral prophylaxis, pre-vaccination, and quarantine could contain strains with an R 0 as high as 2.4.
Biology · Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) · Disease · Highly pathogenic · Infectious disease (medical specialty) · Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 · Pandemic · Pandemic influenza · Quarantine · Vaccination · Virus · Animal Disease Management and Epidemiology · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Immunology · Influenza Virus Research Studies · Internal Medicine · Medicine · Virology
From Risk Assessment to Knowledge Mapping
Social contact networks for the spread of pandemic influenza in children and teenagers
A Hybrid Model for Disease Spread and an Application to the Sars Pandemic
Synthetic Population Dynamics
Predicting Self-Initiated Preventive Behavior Against Epidemics with an Agent-Based Relative Agreement Model
Address of the President, Lord May of Oxford OM AC FRS, given at the Anniversary Meeting on 30 November 2005Threats to tomorrow's world
Development of a resource modelling tool to support decision makers in pandemic influenza preparedness
The impact of mass gatherings and holiday traveling on the course of an influenza pandemic
The Epidemiology of Human Disease
Nonpharmaceutical Interventions Implemented by US Cities During the 1918-1919 Influenza Pandemic
Nonpharmaceutical Measures for Pandemic Influenza in Nonhealthcare Settings—Social Distancing Measures
Google Trends
Epidemic processes in complex networks
Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data
Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases
Human mobility
Targeted Social Distancing Designs for Pandemic Influenza
Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases
Modelling transmission and control of the Covid-19 pandemic in Australia
Quantifying the Impact of Human Mobility on Malaria
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic
Returners and explorers dichotomy in human mobility
Covid-19 control strategies and intervention effects in resource limited settings
Estimating Risks of Heat Strain by Age and Sex
Agent-Based Modeling for Super-Spreading Events
School closure as an influenza mitigation strategy
Reactive strategies for containing developing outbreaks of pandemic influenza
Is population structure sufficient to generate area-level inequalities in influenza rates? An examination using agent-based models
Rapid detection of pandemic influenza in the presence of seasonal influenza
Antiviral Prophylaxis and Isolation for the Control of Pandemic Influenza
Variability in school closure decisions in response to 2009 H1N1
Assessing the Role of Voluntary Self-Isolation in the Control of Pandemic Influenza Using a Household Epidemic Model
Application of logistic differential equation models for early warning of infectious diseases in Jilin Province
A large-scale immuno-epidemiological simulation of influenza A epidemics
Simulation suggests that rapid activation of social distancing can arrest epidemic development due to a novel strain of influenza
High-resolution epidemic simulation using within-host infection and contact data
Is Lockdown Bad for Social Anxiety in Covid-19 Regions
Analysis of the effectiveness of interventions used during the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic
Public health interventions for epidemics
The Science of Complex Systems Is Needed to Ameliorate the Impacts of Covid-19 on Mental Health
Design of non-pharmaceutical intervention strategies for pandemic influenza outbreaks
Mathematical epidemiology is not an oxymoron
Would school closure for the 2009 H1N1 influenza epidemic have been worth the cost
Economic analysis of pandemic influenza mitigation strategies for five pandemic severity categories
The Impact of Mobility and Interventions on the Spread of Diseases
Spatiotemporal patterns of influenza incidence changes in mainland China, 2004–2020
Emerging infectious disease, the household built environment characteristics, and urban planning
UrbanPop
The Role of Subway Travel in an Influenza Epidemic
Preparedness for the Spread of Influenza
Can Twitter be a Reliable Proxy to Characterize Nation-wide Human Mobility? A Case Study of Spain
Post-pandemic transformations
Globalised disease control and response distortion
Epidemic and Insurance
Global research activity on mathematical modeling of transmission and control of 23 selected infectious disease outbreak
Evaluation of strategies to mitigate contagion spread using social network characteristics
A review and agenda for integrated disease models including social and behavioural factors
Pandemic Influenza
Strengthening the International Health Regulations
Die Grippe-Pandemie 1918–20 in der medizinischen Debatte
Uso de mídias sociais para detecção de rumores em saúde pública
Policies to Reduce Influenza in the Workplace
Systems Science
Quantifying the Economic Value and Quality of Life Impact of Earlier Influenza Vaccination
Modeling Individual Vulnerability to Communicable Diseases
Institutional responses to avian influenza in Thailand
Focal Points, Endogenous Processes, and Exogenous Shocks in the Autism Epidemic
Predicting support for non-pharmaceutical interventions during infectious outbreaks
Media, Metaphors and Modelling
The social and political lives of zoonotic disease models
Health behavior homophily can mitigate the spread of infectious diseases in small-world networks
Integrating macro- and micro-level approaches in the explanation of population change
| Obras citantes distintas | 72 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 3,6 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2006 - 2025 (20) |
| Velocidade de citação | recent |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 66 |