Analysis of Power-Structure Fluctuations in the "Longue Durée" of the South Asian World System

Dados Bibliográficos

ID3070261
AutoresDavid Wilkinson (0000-0001-5934-3540), Sergey V Tsirel, С В Цирель
Ano2005
Volume1
Fascículo2
Data de publicação2005-01-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessNão
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoStructure and Dynamics eJournal of Anthropological and Related Sciences (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1554-3374 • E-ISSN: 1554-3374
EditoraCalifornia Digital Library (CDL) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.5070/sd912003270
OpenAlexW1944622934
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas12

A time series of political power configurations of the Indic world system 500 BC - AD 1800 is examined by way of Poisson process analysis, phase transition analysis, Markov process analysis, mathematical modeling and simulation, information theory, analysis of autocorrelation, periodogrammetry, and time-spectral analysis (including epoch superposition). The Indic system displays an unusual propensity toward bipolarity and unipolarity. The behavior of the Indic world system at first sight resembles a Poisson process in which the age of a configuration is irrelevant to its stability. However, the uneven stability of Indic configurations reveals a first-order Markov process at work, within a new sort of longue durée: extremely long-term rules of political change, durable over 2000 years, which seem to route all power structure transitions to, from, and through bipolarity and unipolarity. No progression is found, but rather temporal symmetry. However, upon spectral analysis, several periodicities, both long (300-400 years) and short (1, 2 and 3 generations) are found in the data, and proposed for historical examination

Autocorrelation · Econometrics · Markov chain · Markov process · Mathematical analysis · Physics · Poisson distribution · Political science · Politics · Series (stratigraphy · Stability (learning theory · Statistical physics · Statistics · Superposition principle · Time series · Computer Science · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation · Law · Mathematics