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Modelling War

Dados Bibliográficos

ID3917021
AutoresIan Bellany (Lancaster University, autor correspondente)
Ano1999
Volume36
Fascículo6
Páginas729-739
Data de publicação1999-11-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Peace Research (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022343399036006008
OpenAlexW4234711578
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas4
Referências citadas6

A simple, general mathematical model for modern war is presented. The form of the model is Lanchester but its derivation owes approximately equal amounts to classical operational research and to later ideas associated with theoretical ecology - especially the concept of `carrying capacity'. Solutions to the equations corresponding to stalemated, steady-state outcomes in theatre are concentrated on, with empirical justification derived from the unduly neglected databased work of Voevodsky. Prolongation and stalemate are seen as the default state of modern war. War termination is discussed as a consequence of `mutually (but not equally) hurting stalemate'. Examples are given of how, in certain circumstances, stalemate may be pre-empted in theatre by striking at non-battlefield targets and light is cast on the late 20th-century strategic trend towards conducting war preponderantly from the air

Ancient history · Battlefield · Economics · Epistemology · Management science · Mathematical economics · Operations research · Political science · Positive economics · Prioritization · Simple (philosophy) · Stalemate · State (computer science) · Work (physics) · World War II · Chaos control and synchronization · Computer Science · Engineering · Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation · History · Law · Mechanical Engineering · Military Defense Systems Analysis · Philosophy

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    Open Access•Kelly M Kadera, Kelly Kadera et al.•Conflict Management and Peace…•2008

  • Denial and punishment in war

    Open Access•K Nakao•Journal of Peace Research•2021

  • Does Attrition Behavior Help Explain the Duration of Interstate Wars? A Game Theoretic and Empirical Analysis

    Open Access•Catherine C Langlois, Jean-Pierre P Langlois•International Studies Quarterly•2009

  • Does the Principle of Convergence Really Hold? War, Uncertainty and the Failure of Bargaining

    Open Access•Jean-Pierre P Langlois, Catherine C Langlois•British Journal of Political…•2012

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    Paul R Pillar•Negotiating Peace•1983

  • Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics

    Open Access•Robert M May•Nature•1976

  • Why Big Nations Lose Small Wars

    Open Access•Andrew Mack•World Politics•1975

  • How Civil Wars End

    Open Access•T David Mason, Patrick J Fett•Journal of Conflict Resolution•1996

  • War Termination

    Open Access•Tansa George Massoud•Journal of Peace Research•1996

  • Peace, War, and the Balance of Power

    Open Access•R Harrison Wagner•American Political Science Review•1994

Obras citantes distintas4
Citações por ano0,22
Intervalo de citações2008 - 2021 (14)
Velocidade de citaçãohistorical
Altamente citadoNão
Tipos de citaçãoNeutras: 4
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