Does demographic transition matter for economic growth? Evidence from Egypt
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 3978652 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Reham Rizk (0000-0002-0895-7216, Economics, British University in Egypt, Cairo, Egypt, autor correspondente) |
| Ano | 2019 |
| Volume | 24 |
| Fascículo | 6 |
| Páginas | 1012-1035 |
| Data de publicação | 2019-11-02 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Não |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | The Journal of North African Studies (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 1362-9387 • E-ISSN: 1743-9345 |
| Editora | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/13629387.2018.1480944 |
| OpenAlex | W2807345252 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 1 |
| Referências citadas | 32 |
The paper adopts an extended exogenous Solow-Swan growth model with time series framework to analyse the relationship, if any, exists between growth of working age population, savings, tertiary enrolment, trade openness and GDP per capita of Egypt during the 1971–2015 period. A multivariate cointegration analysis is developed and results reveal a potent and long run relationship exists, thus error correction model constructed to trace both the short and the long run behaviour among variables of the model. The short run dynamic shows that the lagged differential growth of working-age population to total population is positively associated with changes in GDP per capita and savings. Among our key results, growth of working age population found to be dividend and stimulating GDP per capita in both short and long run. In addition, it boosted economic growth through its dynamic interaction with gross savings. Furthermore, variance decomposition and the impulse response function show growth of working age population has a feedback effect on GDP per capita on the long run. An implication, priority should be given to population age structure, if Egypt is to reap the benefits of demographic dividend
Cointegration · Demographic dividend · Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economics · Error correction model · Gross domestic product · Growth accounting · Macroeconomics · Openness to experience · Per capita · Population · Population growth · Productivity · Real gross domestic product · Short run · Total factor productivity · Variance decomposition of forecast errors · Demography · Economic Growth and Productivity · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes
Time Series Tests of Endogenous Growth Models
Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia
Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration — With Applications to the Demand for Money
Is there a long‐run relationship between population growth and living standards? The case of India
World Development Indicators 2016
Demographics and Productivity
Evolution of recent economic-demographic modeling
The role of fertility and population in economic growth
Aggregate Population and Economic Growth Correlations
On Aggregate Empirical Studies Relating Population Variables to Economic Development
A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth
Population Dynamics and Economic Development
Age Structure Dynamics in Asia and Dependence on Foreign Capital
Saving, Economic Growth, and Demographic Change
The Effects of Rapid Population Growth on Labor Supply and Employment in Developing Countries
| Obras citantes distintas | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 1 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2025 - 2025 (1) |
| Velocidade de citação | recent |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 1 |