Demographic ageing and the polarization of regions-an exploratory space-time analysis

Dados Bibliográficos

ID4139834
AutoresTerry Gregory (0000-0001-5334-1667, ZEW Centre for European Economic Research, L7, 1 D-68161 Mannheim, Germany, autor correspondente), Roberto Patuelli (0000-0003-1908-4307, University of Bologna, autor correspondente)
Ano2015
Volume47
Fascículo5
Páginas1192-1210
Data de publicação2015-05-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoEnvironment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0308518x15592329
OpenAlexW3125356992
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas13
Referências citadas39

Demographic ageing is expected to affect labour markets in very different ways on a regional scale. Contributing to this debate, we explore the spatiotemporal patterns of recent distributional changes in the worker age structure and innovation output for German regions by conducting an exploratory space-time data analysis. Besides commonly used tools, we apply newly developed approaches which allow the investigation of joint dynamics of the spatial distributions. Overall, we find that innovation hubs tend to be located in areas with high skill concentrations, but also seem to coincide with favourable demographic age structures. We show that these concentrations are persistent over time due to clusterwise path dependence and spatial contagion forces. The spatiotemporal patterns speak in favour of a demographic polarization process of German regions where the post-reunification East-West divide is increasingly turning into a rural-urban divide

Data science · Demographic economics · Economic geography · Economics · Exploratory analysis · Geography · German · Regional science · Sociology · Computer Science · Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis · Urbanization and City Planning