Modelling Marital Fertility by Age and Duration

An Empirical Appraisal of the Page Model

Dados Bibliográficos

ID4269405
AutoresGermán Rodrı́guez (0000-0003-2929-5124, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile), German Rodríguez (0000-0001-5663-2216), John G F Cleland (0000-0002-1471-7016, Statistical Research (United States)), John Cleland
Ano1988
Volume42
Fascículo2
Páginas241-257
Data de publicação1988-07-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessNão
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoPopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
EditoraInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/0032472031000143346
OpenAlexW2020060122
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas16

Page's model of marital fertility by age and duration is fitted by maximum likelihood techniques to data from 38 of the 41 developing countries that participated in the World Fertility Survey. The results indicate that the model does an excellent job of capturing variations in fertility patterns, with only two parameters. Moreover, national-level estimates of the parameter representing the degree of control of marital fertility correlate reasonably well with the proportion using contraception. On the other hand, estimates of the parameter representing the level of natural fertility correlate well with the duration of breastfeeding and with a measure of contraceptive use for spacing, but also show substantial regional variation. The paper closes with comments on several extensions and applications of the model

Breastfeeding · Duration (music) · Econometrics · Family planning · Fertility · Marital status · Natural fertility · Population · Research methodology · Sociology · Statistics · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Global Maternal and Child Health · Mathematics · Medicine · Psychology · Pediatrics