Economic-Demographic Modeling with Endogenously Determined Birth and Migration Rates

Theory and Prospects

Dados Bibliográficos

ID4911596
AutoresAndrew M Isserman (West Virginia University, autor correspondente)
Ano1985
Volume17
Fascículo1
Páginas25-45
Data de publicação1985-01-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoEnvironment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1068/a170025
PMID12313420
OpenAlexW2113578535
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas11
Referências citadas78

The standard demographic approach to population forecasting consists of extrapolating into the future carefully measured birth, death, and migration rates. An alternative is to forecast changes in those rates on the basis of social science theories. In this paper the prospects for incorporating those theories into forecasting models are assessed. The paper has two parts, the first devoted to fertility and the second to migration. Each contains a description of the demographic methods currently used by the US Bureau of the Census followed by a comprehensive review of the theoretical foundations for forecasting and an assessment of the prospects for doing so

Birth rate · Census · Demographic analysis · Econometrics · Economics · Family planning · Fertility · Geography · Population · Research methodology · Sociology · Total fertility rate · Demography · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Global Health Care Issues · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management