Burnt by the sun
Disaggregating temperature’s current and future impact on mortality in the Turkish context
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 6093549 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Ilhan Can Özen (0000-0003-0524-5536, Middle East Technical University, autor correspondente) |
| Ano | 2021 |
| Volume | 64 |
| Páginas | 81-116 |
| Data de publicação | 2021-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | New Perspectives on Turkey (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 0896-6346 • E-ISSN: 1305-3299 |
| Editora | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/npt.2021.6 |
| OpenAlex | W3144853454 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 1 |
| Referências citadas | 39 |
Our study plans to quantify the effect of higher temperatures on different critical Turkish health outcomes mainly to chart future developments and to identify locations in Turkey that may be potential vulnerable hotspots. The general structure of the temperature mortality function was estimated with different fixed-level effects, with a specific focus on the mortality effect of maximum apparent temperature. Regional models were fitted to pinpoint the thresholds where the temperature–mortality relation changes, thus investigating whether the thresholds are determined nationally or regionally. The future patterns were estimated by extrapolating from future temperature trends: analyzing possible future mortality trends under the restricting assumption of minimal acclimation. Using the fixed effect regression structure, social and developmental variables acting as heat effect modifiers were also identified. In the largest dataset, the initial fixed effect regression specification supports the hypothesis summarized by the U-shaped relationship between temperature and mortality. This is a first corroboration for Turkish climate and health research. In addition, intermediation effects were substantiated for the level of urbanization and population density, and the human development and health development within provinces. Regional heterogeneity is substantiated by the mortality–temperature relationship and the significant threshold deviations from the national average
Biology · Chart · Climate change · Context (archaeology · Econometrics · Economic growth · Economics · Geography · Regression · Regression analysis · Sociology · Statistics · Turkish · Urbanization · Air Quality and Health Impacts · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Demography · Environmental Science · Global Health Care Issues · Mathematics · Ecology
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| Obras citantes distintas | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 1 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2026 - 2026 (1) |
| Velocidade de citação | current |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 1 |