Solving the Problem of Unattributed Political Violence

Dados Bibliográficos

ID6284274
AutoresVincent Bauer (0000-0003-0337-1408, Stanford University, autor correspondente), Keven G Ruby (0000-0002-3274-5440, Chicago Council on Global Affairs), Keven Ruby (Chicago Project on Security and Terrorism, Chicago, IL, USA), Robert Pape (Department of Political Science, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA), Robert A Pape (0000-0001-6622-1103, University of Chicago)
Ano2017
Volume61
Fascículo7
Páginas1537-1564
Data de publicação2017-08-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002715612575
OpenAlexW2401839097
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas5
Referências citadas44

High rates of missing perpetrator information in political violence data pose a serious challenge for studies into militant group behavior and the microdynamics of conflict more generally. In this article we introduce multiple imputation (MI) as the best available method for minimizing the impact of missing perpetrator information on quantitative analyses of political violence, a method that can easily be incorporated into most quantitative research designs. MI will produce unbiased attributions when the reasons for missingness are known and can be controlled for using observed variables, rendering responsibility for unclaimed attacks, “missing at random” (MAR) – which we show is a reasonable assumption in the case of political violence based on current theory of militant group claiming. We lay out the logics and steps of MI, identify variables and data sources, and demonstrate that MI produced better results in the case of the Pakistani Taliban’s response to drone strikes

Attribution · Econometrics · Economics · Imputation (statistics · Militant · Missing data · Political science · Political violence · Politics · Rendering (computer graphics · Statistics · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Law · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence