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A Limited Defense of the Pessimistic Induction

Dados Bibliográficos

ID8399261
AutoresJESSE HOBBS (University of Mississippi, autor correspondente)
Ano1994
Volume45
Fascículo1
Páginas171-191
Data de publicação1994-03-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessNão
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0007-0882 • E-ISSN: 1464-3537
EditoraOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/bjps/45.1.171
OpenAlexW2113951393
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas3
Referências citadas7

The inductive argument from the falsity of most past scientific theories (more than 100 years old) to the falsity of most present ones is defensible, I argue, if it is modified to account for the degrees of theoreticity or observationality in such theories, and the extent to which they are hedged. The case of descriptive astronomy is examined to show that most of the true theories of the 1890s were high in observationality and/or significantly hedged. The false theories of that period, however, were not even approximately true. Apparently, scientists are more interested in supplanting theories with improved observations than in producing true theories.

Argument (complex analysis) · Epistemology · Falsity · Pessimism · History of Science and Medicine · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Science and Climate Studies

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    Open Access•Peter J Lewis•Synthese•2001

  • Human inference

    Richard E Nisbett•Human inference•1980

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    Open Access•Carl G Hempel, Paul Oppenheim•Philosophy of Science•1948

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Obras citantes distintas3
Citações por ano0,11
Intervalo de citações1999 - 2025 (27)
Velocidade de citaçãorecent
Altamente citadoNão
Tipos de citaçãoNeutras: 3
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