Social predictions, institutional design and prestige loops

Economics · Financial economics · Futures contract · Law and economics · Neoclassical economics · Positive economics · Prestige · Sociology · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Economic Theory and Institutions · Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems · Philosophy

• Le vertige futurologique

  Open Access•Emmanuel Grimaud, Julien Wacquez•Terrain•2023

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• Futurological vertigo

  Open Access•Emmanuel Grimaud, Julien Wacquez et al.•Terrain•2023

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• Divinatory Logics

  D Zeitlyn•Current Anthropology•2012

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• Understanding the Process of Economic Change

  Douglass C North•Understanding the Process of…•2005

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• The Structure of Science

  Ernest Nagel, David Hawkins•American Journal of Physics•1961

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• Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements

  John F Muth•Econometrica•1961

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• Knowledge and social imagery

  David Bloor•Knowledge and social imagery•1991

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• Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance

  Open Access•Douglass C North•Institutions, Institutional…•1990

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• Autopoiesis and Configuration Theory

  Open Access•R J in 't Veld, Cjam Termeer et al.•Autopoiesis and Configuration…•1991

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• Law, Legislation and Liberty

  F A Hayek, F A Von Hayek et al.•Law, legislation, and liberty•2012

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• The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

  Robert Κ Merton, Robert K Merton•The Antioch Review•1948

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• Reflexive Predictions

  Open Access•Roger C Buck, R Creighton Buck•Philosophy of Science•1963

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• More on Reflexive Predictions

  Open Access•Mary K Vetterling•Philosophy of Science•1976

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• Reflexive Prediction

  Open Access•Emile Grunberg, Franco Modigliani•Philosophy of Science•1965

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• Correct Public Prediction and the Stability of Equilibrium

  Evangelos A Devletoglou•Journal of Political Economy•1961

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• The Predictability of Social Events

  Emile Grunberg, Franco Modigliani•Journal of Political Economy•1954

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• Optimal Forecasting in Models with Uncertainty when the Outcome is Influenced by the Forecast

  Malcolm Galatin•The Economic Journal•1976

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• The Poverty of Historicism

  Karl R Popper•Economica•1958

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• On the Future of Social Prediction

  Robert Boguslaw, Richard L Henshel•Contemporary Sociology A Journal…•1980

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• Effects of disciplinary prestige on predictive accuracy

  Open Access•Richard L Henshel•Futures•1975

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• Social Theory and Social Structure

  Robert King Merton•Social Theory and Social Structure•1968

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• The Boundary of the Self-Fulfilling Prophecy and the Dilemma of Social Prediction

  Richard L Henshel•British Journal of Sociology•1982

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• The Unanticipated Consequences of Purposive Social Action

  Robert Κ Merton, Robert K Merton•American Sociological Review•1936

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• "The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy" and the Nature of Society

  Daya Krishna•American Sociological Review•1971

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• Social Theory and Social Structure

  N S Timasheff•Thought•1950

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• Predictability and Reflexivity

  Open Access•Emile Grunberg•American Journal of Economics and…•1986

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