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Probability and desirability of future developments – Results of a large-scale Argumentative Delphi in support of Horizon Europe preparation

Dados Bibliográficos

ID9846756
AutoresKerstin E Cuhls (0000-0001-9556-3516, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, autor correspondente), Kerstin Cuhls, Bianca Dragomir (0000-0002-2123-3335), Radu Gheorghiu (0000-0002-4668-8598), Aaron Rosa, Aaron B Rosa (0000-0003-0085-0163, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research), Adrian Curaj
Ano2022
Volume138
Páginas102918
Data de publicação2022-04-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoFutures (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378
EditoraElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.futures.2022.102918
OpenAlexW4213225229
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas4
Referências citadas17

Argumentation theory · Argumentative · Delphi · Delphi method · Economics · Epistemology · Futures studies · Geography · Management science · Operations research · Political science · Preference · Process (computing · Realization (probability · Scale (ratio · Statistics · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Delphi Technique in Research · Law · Mathematics · Social Acceptance of Renewable Energy · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance

  • Development futures

    Open Access•Violeta Schubert•Development in Practice•2026

  • Biases in expert judgements in large-scale S&T Delphi Surveys

    Open Access•Alexander Sokolov, Anna Grebenyuk et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2025

  • Navigating the Delphi jungle

    Open Access•Delia Mangelkramer, Marlen Niederberger et al.•Futures•2026

  • Options for making responsive future strategy to foster sustainability transitions in the German agri-food sector

    Open Access•Delia Mangelkramer•European Journal of Futures…•2024

  • Delphi

    Open Access•Harold A Linstone, Murray Turoff•Technological Forecasting and…•2011

  • Foresight in science and technology

    Ben R Martin•Technology Analysis and Strategic…•1995

  • Case Study Research

    Harris Chaiklin•The Journal of Nervous and Mental…•1991

  • Building Theories from Case Study Research

    Kathleen M Eisenhardt•Academy of Management Review•1989

  • Sensemaking in Organizations

    Dennis A Gioia, Ajay Mehra et al.•Academy of Management Review•1996

  • Prospect Theory

    Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky•Econometrica•1979

  • A foresight toolkit for smart specialization and entrepreneurial discovery

    Open Access•Radu Gheorghiu, Liviu Andreescu et al.•Futures•2016

  • The emergence of an envisioned future. Sensemaking in the case of “Industrie 4.0” in Germany

    Open Access•Uli Meyer•Futures•2019

  • Integral Futures

    Open Access•Joseph Voros•Futures•2008

  • The influence of outcome desirability on optimism

    Zlatan Krizan, Paul D Windschitl•Psychological Bulletin•2007

Obras citantes distintas4
Citações por ano2
Intervalo de citações2024 - 2026 (3)
Velocidade de citaçãocurrent
Altamente citadoNão
Tipos de citaçãoNeutras: 3
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