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Nationality Questions and War

How Ethnic Configurations Affect Conflict Within and Between States

Bibliographic Data

ID10071550
AuthorsLars-Erik Cederman (0000-0002-8511-0617, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, corresponding author), Yannick Pengl (0000-0002-0373-0952, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland), Dennis Atzenhofer (ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland), Luc Girardin (0000-0002-8979-8228, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland)
Year2025
Volume69
Issue9
Pages1495-1523
Publication date2025-01-27
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/00220027241312624
OpenAlexW4406953557
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited68

It is generally accepted that violations of state-nation congruence can cause conflict, but it remains unclear which configurations cause civil and interstate conflict, and how these conflict types interact. Inspired by Myron Weiner’s classical model of the “Macedonian Syndrome,” we propose an integrated theoretical framework that links specific nationality questions to both conflict types. Using spatial data on state borders and ethnic settlements in Europe since 1816, we show that excluded and divided groups are more likely to rebel and, where they govern on only one side of the border, to initiate territorial claims and militarized disputes. To make things worse, rebellion and interstate conflict reinforce each other where ethnic division coincides with partial home rule. We obtain similar findings for civil wars and territorial claims in a global sample post-1945. Yet governments shy away from engaging in interstate disputes to address nationality questions and instead support ethnic rebels abroad

Affect (linguistics · Criminology · Development economics · Economics · Ethnic conflict · Ethnic group · Immigration · Nationality · Political economy · Political science · Sociology · Communication · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Law · Peacebuilding and International Security · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo

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