Alliance Formation in Regional Space

Shifting the Battlefront Between Competing Hegemonial Powers

Dados Bibliográficos

ID10071768
AutoresKai A Konrad (0000-0002-2225-2271, Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Public Finance, Munich, Germany, autor correspondente), Florian Morath (0000-0001-9044-3187, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria)
Ano2025
Data de publicação2025-08-11
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditoraSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/00220027251359720
OpenAlexW4413141651
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas38

Motivated by the history of military alliances during and after the Cold War, we study the sequential expansion of the hegemonial alliances of two great powers. Geography matters for the allocation of the collateral damage of a future military conflict. Current frontline countries bear a major burden. They would prefer to pass this collateral damage on to new members. This motive can drive expansion, which comes to an end only when all remaining non-affiliated countries have been absorbed by one of the two alliances. Those countries are willing to make concessions as part of the accession negotiations, and the overall value of the concessions can reach multiples of the actual collateral damage of military conflict. As a result, alliance expansion may continue beyond what would be optimal from a security perspective

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