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Endogenous Credit Cycles

Bibliographic Data

ID10171827
AuthorsChao Gu (0009-0008-9016-3060, University of Missouri), Fabrizio Mattesini (University of Rome Tor Vergata), Cyril Monnet (0000-0001-6376-4129, University of Bern), Randall Wright (0000-0002-3130-2816, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)
Year2013
Volume121
Issue5
Pages940-965
Publication date2013-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/673472
OpenAlexW2142166121
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited26

We study models of credit with limited commitment, which implies endogenous borrowing constraints. We show that there are multiple stationary equilibria, as well as nonstationary equilibria, including some that display deterministic cyclic and chaotic dynamics. There are also stochastic (sunspot) equilibria, in which credit conditions change randomly over time, even though fundamentals are deterministic and stationary. We show this can occur when the terms of trade are determined by Walrasian pricing or by Nash bargaining. The results illustrate how it is possible to generate equilibria with credit cycles (crunches, freezes, crises) in theory, and as recently observed in actual economies

Chaotic · Debt · Econometrics · Economics · Invariant (physics · Macroeconomics · Mathematical economics · Banking stability, regulation, efficiency · Economic theories and models · Economic Theory and Policy · Mathematics

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Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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