Trade Policy Dynamics
Evidence from 60 Years of US-China Trade
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 10172750 |
|---|---|
| Authors | George Alessandria (0000-0003-4350-3727, National Bureau of Economic Research), Shafaat Yar Khan (0000-0002-7913-089X), Armen Khederlarian (University of Rochester), Kim J Ruhl (0000-0002-5772-7396, University of Wisconsin–Madison), Joseph B Steinberg (0000-0001-9540-1656, University of Toronto) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 133 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 713-749 |
| Publication date | 2024-10-17 |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Political Economy (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X |
| Publisher | University of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1086/733420 |
| OpenAlex | W3206922523 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 27 |
We study China’s export growth to the United States from 1950 to 2008, using a structural model to disentangle the effects of past tariff changes from the effects of changes in expectations of future tariffs. We find that the effects of China’s 1980 Normal Trade Relations (NTR) grant lasted past its 2001 accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), and the likelihood of losing NTR status decreased significantly during 1986–92 but changed little thereafter. US manufacturing employment trends support our findings: industries more exposed to the 1980 reform have shed workers steadily since then without acceleration around China’s WTO accession
Accession · Autarky · China · Commercial policy · Economics · European union · Free trade · International economics · International trade · Political science · Trade barrier · Welfare · Economic Growth and Productivity · Global Trade and Competitiveness · Global trade and economics
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| Citations per year | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2026 - 2026 (1) |
| Highly cited | No |