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Dissecting Mechanisms of Financial Crises

Intermediation and Sentiment

Bibliographic Data

ID10176368
AuthorsArvind Krishnamurthy (0000-0002-4590-6856), Wenhao Li (0000-0002-2517-3720)
Year2024
Volume133
Issue3
Pages935-985
Publication date2024-10-03
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/733423
OpenAlexW4403094494
LanguageEN
References cited49

We develop a model of financial crises with both a financial amplification mechanism, via frictional intermediation, and a role for sentiment, via time-varying beliefs about an illiquidity state. The model accounts for the entire crisis cycle, matching data on the frothy precrisis behavior of asset markets and credit; the sharp transition to a crisis where asset values fall, disintermediation occurs, and output falls; and the slow postcrisis recovery in output. Both the intermediation and the belief mechanism are essential to match the crisis cycle. However, modeling the belief variation via either a Bayesian or a diagnostic model can match the broad patterns

Business · Economics · Financial intermediary · Financial system · Intermediation · Banking stability, regulation, efficiency · Economic theories and models · Finance · Global Financial Crisis and Policies

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