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Bibliographic Data

ID10179642
AuthorsV Chari (0000-0002-7425-8739, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis), V V Chari, Patrick J Kehoe (0000-0001-5738-1236, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)
Year2003
Volume111
Issue6
Pages1262-1292
Publication date2003-11-14
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/378525
OpenAlexW4243799980
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited16

Recent empirical work on financial crises documents that crises tend to occur when macroeconomic fundamentals are weak; but even after conditioning on an exhaustive list of fundamentals, a sizable random component to crises and associated capital flows remains. We develop a model of herd behavior consistent with these observations. Informational frictions together with standard debt default problems lead to volatile capital flows resembling hot money and financial crises. We show that repaying debt during difficult times identifies a government as financially resilient, enhances its reputation, and stabilizes capital flows. Bailing out governments deprives resilient countries of the opportunity to differentiate themselves from the nonresilient

Capital (architecture · Capital flows · Debt · Economics · Government (linguistics · Macroeconomics · Microeconomics · Monetary economics · Reputation · Work (physics · Banking stability, regulation, efficiency · Economic theories and models · Global Financial Crisis and Policies

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    Open Access•John James, John A James et al.•The Journal of Economic History•2011

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    Open Access•Chuc Anh Tu, Saqib Farid et al.•Economic Research-Ekonomska…•2023

  • Time-varying character for short-term capital flow from the interest rate aspect in China

    Open Access•Kai-Hua Wang, Chi-Wei Su et al.•Economic Research-Ekonomska…•2019

  • Theoretical and experimental evidence on stock market volatilities

    Open Access•Limin Wang, Yingying Xu et al.•Economic Research-Ekonomska…•2021

  • Market expectation management and renminbi exchange rate policy under depreciation pressure

    Mei Li•China Economic Journal•2022

  • Explaining Migration Timing

    Open Access•Alisha C Holland, Mary Eleanor Peters et al.•International Organization•2020

  • Economic coercion and currency crises in target countries

    Open Access•Dursun Peksen, Byunghwan Son•Journal of Peace Research•2015

  • Capital Flows and Capital-Market Crises

    Open Access•Guillermo A Calvo•Journal of Applied Economics•1998

  • A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises

    Paul Krugman•Journal of money credit and banking•1979

  • Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles

    Kenneth Rogoff, Anne Sibert•The Review of Economic Studies•1988

  • A Simple Model of Herd Behavior

    Abhijit Banerjee, A V Banerjee•The Quarterly Journal of Economics•1992

  • A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Cultural Change as Informational Cascades

    Sushil Bikhchandani, David Hirshleifer et al.•Journal of Political Economy•1992

Citations per year0.47
Citation span2011 - 2023 (13)
Highly citedNo

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