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The Effects of Devaluation on the Trade Balance and the Balance of Payments

Some New Results

Bibliographic Data

ID10179775
AuthorsMarc A Miles (corresponding author)
Year1979
Volume87
Issue3
Pages600-620
Publication date1979-06-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/260780
OpenAlexW2025155476
LanguageEN
Citations received10
References cited3

This paper examines the statistical relationship between devaluation and both the trade balance and the balance of payments for 16 devaluations of 14 countries in the 1960s. Using several tests involving both the seemingly unrelated and pooled cross-section time-series regression techniques, the paper tests the effect of devaluation while standardizing for other variables that may affect the foreign accounts. While the balance of payments does seem to improve following devaluation, no evidence is found to support the hypothesis that devaluation improves the trade balance. The paper concludes that the adjustment to devaluation is essentially monetary in nature, involving only a portfolio stock adjustment

Balance (ability · Balance of payments · Balance of trade · Devaluation · Economics · Exchange rate · Financial economics · International economics · Monetary economics · Portfolio · Corporate Finance and Governance · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Psychology

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Citations per year0.21
Citation span1978 - 2023 (46)
Highly citedNo

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