Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 10183262 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Craig Burnside (0000-0001-9843-6053, University of Glasgow), Martin Eichenbaum (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago), Sergio Rebelo (0000-0001-7097-8184, Centre for Economic Policy Research) |
| Year | 2016 |
| Volume | 124 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 1088-1147 |
| Publication date | 2016-07-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Political Economy (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X |
| Publisher | University of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1086/686732 |
| OpenAlex | W3125812377 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 26 |
| References cited | 28 |
Some booms in housing prices are followed by busts. Others are not. It is generally \ndi¢ cult to Önd observable fundamentals that are useful for predicting whether a boom \nwill turn into a bust or not. We develop a model consistent with these observations. \nAgents have heterogeneous expectations about long-run fundamentals but change their \nviews because of ìsocial dynamics.îAgents with tighter priors are more likely to convert \nothers to their beliefs. Boom-bust episodes typically occur when skeptical agents \nhappen to be correct. The booms that are not followed by busts typically occur when \noptimistic agents happen to be correct
Boom · Bust · Economics · Keynesian economics · Monetary economics · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Economic theories and models · Engineering · Housing Market and Economics
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Investors matter when prices are dispersed
What Drives House Prices in Europe
Rural-urban migration and house prices in China
Extrapolative households and strategic firms
Housing market congestion
Inferring Expectations from Observables
Narrative-Driven Fluctuations in Sentiment
Informative Social Interactions
Fundamentals and the volatility of real estate prices in China
Visibility Bias in the Transmission of Consumption Beliefs and Undersaving
Credit Supply and the Housing Boom
The Housing Boom and Bust
House Price Momentum and Strategic Complementarity
The Economic Effects of Social Networks
Genetic algorithm application for real estate market analysis in the uncertainty conditions
Heterogeneous expectations in the housing market
The digital boost
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False beliefs can bootstrap cooperative communities through social norms
Expectations-based reference-dependence and labor supply
Finance and Business Cycles
Forced Sales and House Prices
Ideological Segregation Online and Offline
Prices and Trading Volume in the Housing Market
The Geographic Determinants of Housing Supply
A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics
The Market for News
Intuitive evaluation of likelihood judgment producers
Consumption Strikes Back? Measuring Long‐Run Risk
Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles
Birds of a Feather
| Unique citing works | 26 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,6 |
| Citation span | 2016 - 2026 (11) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 25 |