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Real and Nominal Interest Rates under Uncertainty

The Fisher Theorem and the Term Structure

Bibliographic Data

ID10183582
AuthorsSimon Benninga, Aris Protopapadakis
Year1983
Volume91
Issue5
Pages856-867
Publication date1983-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/261185
OpenAlexW1993326742
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited3

This paper examines the relation between nominal and real interest rates, and the nominal and real term structure under uncertainty. We show that two separate risk terms cause the Fisher theorem to fail. One risk term is related only to the variability of money prices, while the other is related to the purchasing power riskiness of the nominal bond. Monetary policy can affect the value of both these risk terms. We also show that the pure expectations hypothesis of the term structure fails for both real and nominal bonds because of risk premia. Even if the economy is neutral with respect to monetary policy, monetary policy can alter the nominal term structure

Bond · Econometrics · Economics · Fisher hypothesis · Interest rate · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Monetary policy · Nominal interest rate · Purchasing power · Real interest rate · Term (time · Yield curve · Capital Investment and Risk Analysis · Economic theories and models · Finance · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0.1
Citation span2006 - 2024 (19)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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