Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Conversion by the Numbers

Benefits and Pitfalls of Quantitative Modelling in the Study of Early Christian Growth

Bibliographic Data

ID10196890
AuthorsAdam M Schor (Long Island University, corresponding author)
Year2009
Volume33
Issue4
Pages472-498
Publication date2009-11-16
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Religious History (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-4227 • E-ISSN: 1467-9809
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1467-9809.2009.00826.x
OpenAlexW2010029012
LanguageEN
Citations received6

Proponents and critics of numerically modelling early Christian growth have missed many complexities of this approach. This study re‐examines quantitative modelling by conducting “thought experiments,” built from initial assumptions to population projections. First, an “apostolic mission” model assumes that Christianity grew via persuasive leaders; it projects a cubic growth curve. Second, a “values reproduction” model ties higher reproduction and conversion to certain Christian values; it projects an exponential curve. Next, a “social reaction” model links growth to interconfessional interactions; it projects a logistic curve. Such formal models reveal numerical parameters of conversion and the impact of various assumptions. Together, they illustrate the variability of early Christian population projections. They also showcase limitations of traditional quantitative modelling, which tends to oversimplify social conditions, to mischaracterise ancient religion, and to inspire teleological reasoning. Newer “network” models can overcome only some of these limitations. Used carefully, however, quantitative methods supplement familiar socio‐cultural approaches

Econometrics · Biblical Studies and Interpretation · History · Mathematics · Religion and Society Interactions · Religion, Society, and Development

  • The attributes of the true church in the Nicene Creed and its relevance for ecumenism

    Open Access•Sarel P van der Walt•In die Skriflig/In Luce Verbi•2026

  • The Social Network of Philip in Acts

    Open Access•Jens Dörpinghaus•Biblical Theology Bulletin…•2024

  • Being church in the era of ‘homo digitalis’

    Open Access•Wim A Dreyer•Verbum et Ecclesia•2019

  • The Christian sarcophagus population of Rome

    Open Access•Robert Couzin•Journal of Roman Archaeology•2014

  • Historical and Comparative Research on Social Diffusion

    Open Access•Sean Everton, Pfaff•Social Science History•2022

  • Complexity and Timeliness of the Term "Christendom" for Ecumenical Ecclesiology

    Open Access•Filip Krauze•Religions•2024

Citations per year0.5
Citation span2014 - 2026 (13)
Highly citedNo

Tools

Open DOISci-HubOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae