Sex, drugs and matrices
Mathematical prediction of HIV infection
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 10207308 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Paul R Abramson (0000-0002-7940-3691, University of California, Los Angeles, corresponding author), Bruce Rothschild (0000-0003-1327-6615, University of California, Los Angeles) |
| Year | 1988 |
| Volume | 25 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 106-122 |
| Publication date | 1988-02-01 |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Journal of Sex Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-4499 • E-ISSN: 1559-8519 |
| Publisher | Taylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/00224498809551447 |
| OpenAlex | W2064071937 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 9 |
| References cited | 18 |
The purpose of this paper is to consider a very simple model of the AIDS epidemic. This model illustrates how the spread of AIDS can be affected by parameters whose values, at the present time, are very imprecise or unknown. Of particular interest are the data related to sexual encounters and practices, data which are often unreliable or ambiguous. In this regard, the present model also suggests that the epidemiology of AIDS is particularly sensitive to the limitations in the assessment of sexuality/drug‐related behavior. Using a system of elementary differential equations, the present paper illustrates (using 3 examples) that depending upon the value of critical parameters, one could predict either very rapid increases of seropositivity or a decreasing rate of seropositivi‐ty. Thus, in order to diminish the ambiguity, it becomes crucial to make careful estimates of the sexual “interaction” coefficients, along with all other parameters, to insure that reasonable predictions can be made
Ambiguity · Econometrics · Epistemology · Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV · Human sexuality · Sexual behavior · Simple (philosophy · Sociology · Statistics · Adolescent Sexual and Reproductive Health · Computer Science · HIV Research and Treatment · HIV, TB, and STIs Epidemiology · Mathematics · Medicine · Psychology · Social Psychology
Sexual science
How risky is risky sex
Sexual assessment and the epidemiology of Aids
Prevalence of classes of risk behaviors for HIV infection in a randomly selected Australian population
Can bad models suggest good policies? Sexual mixing and the Aids epidemic
Drug use, prostitution and the prevalence of Aids
Base rates revisited
The assessment of sexual practices relevant to the transmission of Aids
Methodological problems in the study of psychosocial influences on the Aids process
| Citations per year | 0.24 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 1988 - 1993 (6) |
| Highly cited | No |