The Future Demand for Industrial Sites in the Netherlands

Is Employment a Good Predictor

Bibliographic Data

ID10408484
AuthorsPascal Beckers (0000-0002-7358-2641, corresponding author), Jan Schuur (Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
Year2013
Volume49
Issue9
Pages1535-1547
Publication date2013-10-16
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueRegional Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0034-3404 • E-ISSN: 1360-0591
PublisherRoutledge (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00343404.2013.838320
OpenAlexW2147191139
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited11

Beckers P. and Schuur J. The future demand for industrial sites in the Netherlands: is employment a good predictor, Regional Studies. Popular forecasting models for long-term planning of industrial sites assume a strong linear relationship between employment and land use. New Dutch panel data for 1997–2008 were used to test this assumption. In a linear model, employment alone does not suffice to predict land use. Non-linear models show a relationship at municipal and industrial sites level, but not for regions. However, the relationship is strongly biased by unobserved heterogeneity. For planning purposes and prediction, additional explanatory variables are necessary to tackle this problem. The findings do not support the use of simple linear models for the planning of industrial sites

Economic geography · Economics · Geography · Regional development · Regional science · Regional studies · Housing Market and Economics · Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis · Urban Transport and Accessibility

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