The delphi technique in urban forecasting

Dados Bibliográficos

ID10409199
AutoresDavid Ley (0000-0002-9112-4126, University of British Columbia, autor correspondente), D F Ley, G Anderson (University of Waterloo)
Ano1975
Volume9
Fascículo3
Páginas243-249
Data de publicação1975-11-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessNão
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoRegional Studies (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0034-3404 • E-ISSN: 1360-0591
EditoraRoutledge (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/09595237500185251
OpenAlexW2031764390
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas2
Referências citadas11

Ley D. F. and Anderson G. (1975) The delphi technique in urban forecasting. Reg. Studies 9, 243–249. The adaptive system is information-consumptive; this attribute holds for social, urban and regional systems, and is particularly true for information of future states of the system's environment. The battery of forecasting techniques available to elicit this information may be categorized into technical and intuitive methodologies, each with advantages and shortcomings. The Delphi technique is suggested as a linking methodology which retains both systematization and firm contact with the real world. An empirical Delphi forecast of the urban future of Nanaimo, British Columbia indicates the versatility of the instrument, its avoidance of biases inherent in other methods, and its particular appropriateness to participatory planning

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