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Terms of Trade Shifts and International Macroeconomic Fundamentals

Bibliographic Data

ID10430485
AuthorsRonald Johnson (corresponding author)
Year1993
Volume21
Issue3
Pages73-85
Publication date1993-03-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Review of Black Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0034-6446 • E-ISSN: 1936-4814
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1007/bf02701706
OpenAlexW2091205362
LanguageEN
References cited3

This paper focuses on the relationship between developing-country terms of trade and underlying economic fundamentals in the industrial economies. The focus is limited to the terms of trade of the five developing-country regions (Africa, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and the Western Hemisphere). The analysis is based on a version of the arbitrage pricing model, which is used extensively in the literature on capital market analysis. This model links developing-country terms of trade to indicators of international macroeconomic fundamentals. In this model the terms of trade are characterized as the price of a hedge portfolio consisting of a long position in exports and a short position in imports. The primary finding is that there does not appear to be an important link between developing-country terms of trade and underlying fundamentals in the industrial countries

Arbitrage · Developing country · Economics · Financial economics · International economics · International trade · Portfolio · Position (finance · Terms of trade · Trade barrier · Western hemisphere · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

  • The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing

    Open Access•Stephen A Ro, Stephen A Ross•Journal of Economic Theory•1976

  • Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root

    David A Dickey, Wayne A Fuller•Econometrica•1981

Highly citedNo

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