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Stretched Lines, Averted Leaps, And Excluded Competition

A Theory of Scientific Counterfactuals

Bibliographic Data

ID10703137
AuthorsGregory M Mikkelson (0000-0002-5450-1914, University of Chicago, corresponding author)
Year1996
Volume63
IssueS3
PagesS194-S201
Publication date1996-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePhilosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0031-8248 • E-ISSN: 1539-767X
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1086/289952
OpenAlexW1987974361
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited14

Lewis' argument against the Limit Assumption and Pollock's Generalized Consequence Principle together suggest that “minimal-change” theories of counterfactuals are wrong. The “small-change” theories presented by Nute do not say enough. While these theories rely on closeness between possible worlds, I base an alternative on the ceteris paribus concept. My theory solves a problem that the above cannot, and is more relevant to the philosophy of science. Ceteris paribus conditions should normally include the causes, but exclude the effects, of the negated antecedent. An example from community ecology, the debate over null models in island-biogeographical studies of competition, supports these arguments

Argument (complex analysis) · Ceteris paribus · Competition (biology) · Counterfactual conditional · Counterfactual thinking · Economics · Epistemology · LEAPS · Philosophy of science · Pollock · Positive economics · Ecology · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science

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  • The Aim and Structure of Ecological Theory

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  • Modeling nature

    Sharon E Kingsland•Modeling nature•1995

  • A Theory of Conditionals

    Robert Stalnaker, Robert C Stalnaker•Ifs•1968

  • The Problem of Counterfactual Conditionals

    Nelson Goodman•The Journal of Philosophy•1947

  • Asymmetries in Time

    Richard Healey, Paul Horwich•The Philosophical Review•1991

  • Methodology Revitalized

    Peter B Sloep, Peter Sloep•The British Journal for the…•1993

  • Counterfactuals and Hypothesis Testing in Political Science

    Open Access•James D Fearon•World Politics•1991

Unique citing works2
Citations per year0.07
Citation span1999 - 2012 (14)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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