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Tracking Confirmation

Bibliographic Data

ID10706683
AuthorsIgor Douven (0000-0003-3413-080X, Institut d'Histoire et de Philosophie des Sciences et des Techniques, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume88
Issue3
Pages398-414
Publication date2021-07-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePhilosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0031-8248 • E-ISSN: 1539-767X
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1086/712792
OpenAlexW4230506225
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited20

Confirmation is a graded notion: evidence can confirm a hypothesis to a greater or lesser degree. There has been debate about how to measure degree of confirmation. Starting from the observation that we would like evidence to be a discriminating indicator of truth, we conduct computer simulations to determine how well the various known measures of confirmation predict the extent to which a given piece of evidence fulfills that role, given a hypothesis of interest. The outcomes show that some measures are markedly better indicators of truth than others

Data mining · Degree (music) · Econometrics · Epistemology · Measure (data warehouse) · Physics · Tracking (education) · Computer Science · Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI · Mathematics · Misinformation and Its Impacts · Philosophy · Psychology · Topic Modeling

  • Inference strength predicts the probability of conditionals better than conditional probability does

    Open Access•Igor Douven, Shira Elqayam et al.•Journal of Memory and Language•2022

  • Tracking Truth

    Sherrilyn Roush•TRACKING TRUTH: KNOWLEDGE,…•2005

  • An introduction to ROC analysis

    Open Access•Tom Fawcett•Pattern Recognition Letters•2006

  • From covariation to causation

    P Wenjie Cheng•Psychological Review•1997

  • Bayesian t tests for accepting and rejecting the null hypothesis

    Open Access•Jeffrey N Rouder, Paul L Speckman et al.•Psychonomic Bulletin & Review•2009

  • Confirming Power of Observations Metricized for Decisions among Hypotheses

    Open Access•Henry A Finch, Henry Finch•Philosophy of Science•1960

  • The Plurality of Bayesian Measures of Confirmation and the Problem of Measure Sensitivity

    Open Access•Branden Fitelson•Philosophy of Science•1999

  • Logical Foundations of Evidential Support

    Open Access•Branden Fitelson•Philosophy of Science•2006

  • On Bayesian Measures of Evidential Support

    Open Access•Vincenzo Crupi, Katya Tentori et al.•Philosophy of Science•2007

  • Degree of Factual Support

    Open Access•John G Kemeny, Paul Oppenheim•Philosophy of Science•1952

  • Philosophical Explanations

    Robert Nozick•Philosophical Explanations•2006

Citations per year0.25
Citation span2022 - 2022 (1)
Highly citedNo

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