Postscript to Richard Jeffrey’s “Conditioning, Kinematics, and Exchangeability”

Dados Bibliográficos

ID10707201
AutoresCarl Wagner (0000-0002-3180-3987, University of Tennessee at Knoxville, autor correspondente), Carl G Wagner
Ano2022
Volume89
Fascículo3
Páginas631-643
Data de publicação2022-07-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoPhilosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0031-8248 • E-ISSN: 1539-767X
EditoraCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/psa.2022.1
OpenAlexW4211002264
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas9

Richard Jeffrey’s “Conditioning, Kinematics, and Exchangeability” is one of the foundational documents of probability kinematics. However, the section entitled “Successive Updating” contains a subtle error regarding the applicability of updating by so-called relevance quotients in order to ensure the commutativity of successive probability kinematical revisions. Upon becoming aware of this error, Jeffrey formulated the appropriate remedy, but he never discussed the issue in print. To head off any confusion, it seems worthwhile to alert readers of Jeffrey’s “Conditioning, Kinematics, and Exchangeability” to the aforementioned error and to document his remedy, placing it in the context of both earlier and subsequent work on commuting probability kinematical revisions. 1

Commutative property · Conditioning · Confusion · Context (archaeology) · Discrete mathematics · Epistemology · Exposition (narrative) · Generality · Kinematics · Mathematical economics · Political science · Psychoanalysis · Relevance (law) · Statistics · Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Computer Science · History · Law · Mathematics · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Probability and Statistical Research · Psychology