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Refighting Pickett's Charge

Mathematical Modeling of the Civil War Battlefield

Bibliographic Data

ID10762962
AuthorsM Jocelyn Armstrong (0000-0002-6293-4197, Brock University, corresponding author), Steven E Sodergren (Norwich University)
Year2015
Volume96
Issue4
Pages1153-1168
Publication date2015-12-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocial Science Quarterly (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0038-4941 • E-ISSN: 1540-6237
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/ssqu.12178
OpenAlexW2133762525
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited17

Objective We model Pickett's Charge at the Battle of Gettysburg to see whether the Confederates could have achieved victory by committing more infantry, executing a better barrage, or facing a weaker defense. Methods Our mathematical modeling is based on Lanchester equations, calibrated using historical army strengths. We weight the Union artillery and infantry two different ways using two sources of data, and so have four versions of the model. Results The models estimate that a successful Confederate charge would have required at least one to three additional brigades. An improved artillery barrage would have reduced these needs by about one brigade. A weaker Union defense could have allowed the charge to succeed as executed. Conclusions The Confederates plausibly had enough troops to take the Union position and alter the battle's outcome, but likely too few to further exploit such a success

Ancient history · Artillery · Battle · Battlefield · Charge (physics) · Economics · Infantry · Operations research · Physics · Political science · Position (finance) · Spanish Civil War · Victory · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Engineering · Guidance and Control Systems · History · Law · Military Defense Systems Analysis · Military Strategy and Technology

  • A Counterfactual Study of the Charge of the Light Brigade

    David Connors, M Jocelyn Armstrong et al.•Historical Methods A Journal of…•2015

  • Pickett's Charge in History and Memory

    Craig L Symonds, Carol Reardon•The Journal of Military History•1998

  • A Counterfactual Study of the Charge of the Light Brigade

    David Connors, M Jocelyn Armstrong et al.•Historical Methods A Journal of…•2015

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    James L Nichols, George R Stewart et al.•The Mississippi Valley Historical…•1960

  • Attack and Die

    James I Robertson, Grady Mcwhiney et al.•The Journal of Southern History•1983

  • The Gettysburg Campaign

    Clifford Dowdey, Edwin B Coddington•The Journal of Southern History•1969

  • Battle Tactics of the Civil War

    Perry D Jamieson, Paddy Griffith•Journal of American History•1990

  • Pickett's Charge in History and Memory

    Gaines M Foster, Carol Reardon•Journal of American History•1998

Citations per year0.09
Citation span2015 - 2015 (1)
Highly citedNo

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