Decision Making Under Great Uncertainty
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 10928024 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Sven Ove Hansson (0000-0003-0071-3919, Uppsala University), Oskar Hansson (0000-0001-8467-7286, Uppsala University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1996 |
| Volume | 26 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 369-386 |
| Publication date | 1996-09-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Philosophy of the Social Sciences (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0048-3931 • E-ISSN: 1552-7441 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1177/004839319602600304 |
| OpenAlex | W2169355635 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 40 |
This article is an attempt at a systematic account of decision making under greater uncertainty than what traditional, mathematically oriented decision theory can cope with. Four components of great uncertainty are distinguished: (1) the identity of the options is not well determined (uncertainty of demarcation) ; (2) the consequences of at least some option are unknown (uncertainty of consequences); (3) it is not clear whether information obtained from others, such as experts, can be relied on (uncertainty of reliance); and (4) the values relevant for the decision are not determined with sufficient precision (uncertainty of values). Some possible strategy types are proposed for each of these components. Decisions related to environmental issues are used to illustrate the proposals
Business · Decision theory · Economics · Epistemology · Management science · Measurement uncertainty · Microeconomics · Risk analysis (engineering) · Statistics · Uncertainty · Uncertainty analysis · Uncertainty quantification · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Mathematics · Philosophy
Risk, Precaution, and Emerging Technologies
Resilience Thinking and a Decision-Analytic Approach to Conservation
Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes
Fallacies of risk
A review of uncertainty research in impact assessment
Values for a Post-Pandemic Future
Responsive Equanimity to Uncertainty
Integrating ecosocial policies through polycentric governance
States of Uncertainty, Risk–Benefit Assessment and Early Clinical Research
Vagueness in Medicine
Decision theory for sustainable rehabilitation
Towards a concept of uncertainty
Opportunities and challenges of AI-systems in political decision-making contexts
Regional obligations during disasters
Nanotechnology, Contingency and Finitude
Logic of Choice or Logic of Care? Uncertainty, Technological Mediation and Responsible Innovation
Future ethics
Decision strategies for policy decisions under uncertainties
Designing Policy Pilots under Climate Uncertainty
Consent, contestability and employer authority
Nuclear energy, responsible risk communication and moral emotions
Argument-based decision support for risk analysis
Probing the improbable
Evidence-based uncertainty analysis
Risk-reducing goals
Making policy decisions under plural uncertainty
Philosophy and the Precautionary Principle
A Novel Type of Precautionary Argument for Situations of Severe Uncertainty in Science and Policy
Types of Technological Innovation in the Face of Uncertainty
Coping with the Unpredictable Effects of Future Technologies
AI-Related Risk
Gobernar el conocimiento
Conceptualising uncertainty in environmental decision-making
Policy Learning, Policy Failure, and the Mitigation of Policy Risks
Complexity Theories, Social Theory, and the Question of Social Complexity
From the casino to the jungle
Varieties of responsibility
Disagreement-based uncertainty for decision making
Time horizons and discount rates in Swedish environmental policy
Making Climate Decisions
| Unique citing works | 40 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,6 |
| Citation span | 2001 - 2026 (26) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 35 |