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Maximum likelihood estimates for the parameters of a continuous time model for first conception

Bibliographic Data

ID10969718
AuthorsS N Singh (0000-0002-6227-6171, Demographic Research Centre, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India, corresponding author), T Bhaduri (Demographic Research Centre, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India)
Year1972
Volume9
Issue2
Pages249-255
Publication date1972-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueDemography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0070-3370 • E-ISSN: 1533-7790
PublisherDuke University Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.2307/2060637
PMID4670323
OpenAlexW2027070583
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited4

The duration of time between two successive births or between marriage and first birth is an indicator of the level of fertility of a couple. Potter and Parker (1964) and Singh (1961, 1967) have suggested the Type I Geometric as a distribution appropriate for representing the length of interval to first conception leading to a live birth. Potter and Parker estimated the parameters of this distribution with the help of the first two moments. Majumdar and Sheps (1970) pointed out the limitations of these moment estimates and gave a method to obtain maximum likelihood estimates, based on formulas which are too involved for solution without the help of a computer. Singh proposed a continuous probability distribution based on another set of assumptions for the above situation. He outlined a method to obtain best asymptotically normal estimates of the parameters. These estimates are obtained after several iterations starting from any set of consistent estimates. The objective of this paper is to show that it is relatively easier to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters of the continuous model, which describes the data on duration to first conception as well as does the discrete model. Simple expressions for the moment and maximum likelihood estimates with the corresponding covariance matrices are obtained. Application is made to three sets of data

Combinatorics · Covariance · Duration (music · Interval (graph theory · Maximum likelihood · Moment (physics · Set (abstract data type · Statistics · Applied Mathematics · Computer Science · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

  • A modification of a continuous time model for first conception

    Open Access•S N Singh, K C Chakrabarty et al.•Demography•1976

  • Family Growth in Metropolitan America

    Charles F Westoff•Family Growth in Metropolitan…•1961

  • Estimators of a type I geometric distribution from observations on conception times

    Open Access•Hiranmay Majumdar, Mindel C Sheps•Demography•1970

  • Predicting the time required to conceive

    Robert G Potter, Margaret Parker et al.•Population Studies•1964

Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,02
Citation span1976 - 1976 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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