Empirical analysis of the contribution of age composition to population growth
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 10970731 |
|---|---|
| Authors | H Preston (0000-0001-7038-9689, University of California, Berkeley, corresponding author), Samuel H Preston (University of California System) |
| Year | 1970 |
| Volume | 7 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 417-432 |
| Publication date | 1970-11-01 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Demography (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0070-3370 • E-ISSN: 1533-7790 |
| Publisher | Duke University Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2060235 |
| OpenAlex | W4299910918 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 3 |
The method of decomposition is applied to rates of natural increase in order to elucidate the role played by age composition in the growth of populations. A population’s age distribution and fertility schedule are contrasted to those in a "stationary" population having the same mortality rates and having a fertility schedule equal to that of the observed population divided by its net reproduction rate. In this manner it is shown that about one-quarter to one-third of the growth of most current high-growth populations can be attributed to non-stationarity of their age distributions. This fraction will rise, as it has in most industrialized countries, if fertility is reduced and age distributions become middle-heavy. In projections of the 1963 Venezuelan female population with fertility rates declining by 20/0 and 1% annually, more than half of the growth (in numbers) that occurs prior to zero-growth attainment is contributed by non-stationarity of its intervening age distributions
Birth rate · Family planning · Fertility · Population · Population growth · Population momentum · Research methodology · Sociology · Total fertility rate · Demography · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
| Citations per year | 0.04 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 1977 - 2018 (42) |
| Highly cited | No |