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Projection of Down's syndrome births in the United States 1979-2000, and the potential effects of prenatal diagnosis

Bibliographic Data

ID11020815
AuthorsCarl A Huether (corresponding author)
Year1983
Volume73
Issue10
Pages1186-1189
Publication date1983-10-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0090-0036 • E-ISSN: 1541-0048
PublisherAmerican Public Health Association (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.2105/ajph.73.10.1186
PMID6225344
OpenAlexW2060215334
LanguageEN
References cited8

This study projects the annual number of Down's syndrome (DS) births during 1979-2000 by maternal age categories, and estimates the effects of prenatal chromosomal diagnosis utilization on reducing these baseline projections. Assuming no reduction in DS births through prenatal diagnosis, projected DS births increase from about 4,300 in 1979 to 5,300 in 1990, where the level would remain approximately stable throughout the 1990s. Applying Ohio's 1980-1981 prenatal chromosomal diagnosis utilization ratio of 17 per cent to women greater than or equal to 35 results in a maximum of 6 per cent reduction in the annual baseline projections of DS births over the next two decades. However, if amniocentesis utilization by women age 30-34 increases to 37.5 per cent and to 75 per cent by women greater than or equal to 35, a one-fourth to one-third annual reduction is achieved throughout the period studied. A substantial increase in prenatal diagnosis appears necessary to offset the projected increase in DS births resulting from a larger number of births to women greater than or equal to 35

Abortion · Amniocentesis · Biology · Down syndrome · Fetus · Obstetrics · Pregnancy · Prenatal diagnosis · Prenatal screening · Demography · Medicine · Prenatal Screening and Diagnostics · Pediatrics

  • Trends in utilization of prenatal cytogenetic diagnosis by New York State residents in 1979 and 1980

    E B HOOK, D M Schreinemachers•American Journal of Public Health•1983

  • The growing demand for midtrimester amniocentesis

    H F Selle, D W Holmes et al.•American Journal of Public Health•1979

  • Down's syndrome

    Carl A Huether, Gregory R Gummere et al.•American Journal of Public Health•1981

  • Causes of low utilization of amniocentesis by women of advanced maternal age

    Helen Volodkevich, Carl A Huether•Biodemography and Social Biology•1981

Highly citedNo

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