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The (Im)precision of Life Expectancy Numbers

Bibliographic Data

ID11023799
AuthorsJames A Hanley (0000-0003-3486-5291, The author is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McGill University, Montreal, Canada., corresponding author)
Year2022
Volume112
Issue8
Pages1151-1160
Publication date2022-08-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0090-0036 • E-ISSN: 1541-0048
PublisherAmerican Public Health Association (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.2105/ajph.2022.306805
PMID35830672
OpenAlexW4285082548
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited9

Life expectancy figures for countries and population segments are increasingly being reported to more decimal places and used as indicators of the strengths or failings of countries’ health and social systems. Reports seldom quantify their intrinsic statistical imprecision or the age-specific numbers of deaths that determine them. The SE formulas available to compute imprecision are all model based. This note adds a more intuitive data-based SE method and extends the jackknife to the analysis of event rates more generally. It also describes the relationships between the magnitude of the SE and the numbers of person-years and deaths on which it is based. These relationships can help quantify the statistical noise present in published year-to-year differences in life expectancies, as well as in same-year differences between or within countries. Agencies and investigators are encouraged to use one of these SEs to report the imprecision of life expectancy numbers and to tailor the number of decimal places accordingly. (Am J Public Health. 2022;112(8):1151–1160. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2022.306805 )

Arithmetic · Decimal · Econometrics · Estimator · Jackknife resampling · Life expectancy · Population · Public health · Sociology · Statistics · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics · Medicine · Psychology · Gerontology

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    Open Access•J R Goldstein, Ronald D Lee•Population and Development Review•2024

  • The Methods and Materials of Demography

    Henry S Shryock•Methods and Materials of Demography•1976

  • Evaluation of methodologies for small area life expectancy estimation

    Daniel Eayres, E S Williams•Journal of Epidemiology and…•2004

  • Life expectancy as a summary of mortality in a population

    P B S Silcocks, P Silcocks et al.•Journal of Epidemiology and…•2001

Citations per year1
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Highly citedNo

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Open DOIOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae