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The Inter- and Intragenerational Impact of Gestational Diabetes on the Epidemic of Type 2 Diabetes

Bibliographic Data

ID11026698
AuthorsNathaniel D Osgood, Nathaniel Osgood (0000-0002-3994-3298, University of Saskatchewan), Roland Dyck (0000-0002-5435-0538), Roland F Dyck, Winfried K Grassmann (0000-0002-1446-4020)
Year2011
Volume101
Issue1
Pages173-179
Publication date2011-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0090-0036 • E-ISSN: 1541-0048
PublisherAmerican Public Health Association (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.2105/ajph.2009.186890
PMID21148717
PMCIDPMC3000710
OpenAlexW2100239513
LanguageEN
Citations received8
References cited60

Objectives. We investigated the contribution of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) to the historic epidemic of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Saskatchewan. Methods. We constructed a population-level simulation model of the inter- and intragenerational interaction of GDM and T2DM for the period 1956 to 2006. The model was stratified by gender, ethnicity, and age; parameterized with primary and secondary data; and calibrated to match historic time series. Risk of diabetes was sigmoidally trended to capture exogenous factors. Results. Best-fit calibrations suggested GDM may be responsible for 19% to 30% of the cases of T2DM among Saskatchewan First Nations people, but only for approximately 6% of cases among other persons living in Saskatchewan. The estimated contribution of GDM to the growth in T2DM was highly sensitive to assumptions concerning the post-GDM risk of developing T2DM. Conclusions. GDM may be an important driver for the T2DM epidemic in many subpopulations. Because GDM is a readily identifiable, preventable, and treatable condition, investments in prevention, rapid diagnosis, and evidence-based treatment of GDM in at-risk populations may offer substantial benefit in lowering the T2DM burden over many generations. Model-informed data collection can aid in assessing intervention tradeoffs

Diabetes mellitus · Environmental health · Gestation · Gestational diabetes · Population · Pregnancy · Type 2 diabetes · Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus · Birth, Development, and Health · Demography · Endocrinology · Gestational Diabetes Research and Management · Medicine · Pregnancy and preeclampsia studies · Gerontology

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    Open Access•Roland Dyck, Chandima Karunanayake et al.•BMC Public Health•2013

  • Trends and burden of diabetes in pregnancy among Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal mothers in Western Australia, 1998–2015

    Open Access•Marwan Awad Ahmed, Helen D Bailey et al.•BMC Public Health•2022

  • Primary Health Care for Aboriginal Australian Women in Remote Communities after a Pregnancy with Hyperglycaemia

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    Open Access•Dana Zilberman-Kravits, Naomi Meyerstein et al.•Maternal and Child Health Journal•2018

  • Designing an Agent-Based Model Using Group Model Building

    Open Access•Keumseok Koh, Rebecca Reno et al.•Journal of Urban Health•2018

  • A Novel System Dynamics Model of Female Obesity and Fertility

    Nasim S Sabounchi, Peter S Hovmand et al.•American Journal of Public Health•2014

  • Diabetes in Pregnancy Among First Nations Women

    Open Access•Richard T Oster, M Mayan et al.•Qualitative Health Research•2014

  • Impact of Overweight on the Risk of Developing Common Chronic Diseases During a 10-Year Period

    Alison E Field, Eugenie Coakley et al.•A.M.A. Archives of Internal…•2001

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    Sarah H Wild, Sarah Wild et al.•Diabetes Care•2004

  • Breast-feeding and childhood obesity—a systematic review

    Open Access•S Arenz, R Rückerl et al.•International Journal of Obesity•2004

  • Type 2 diabetes mellitus after gestational diabetes

    Open Access•Leanne Bellamy, Juan-Pablo Casas et al.•The Lancet•2009

  • Trends and Racial/Ethnic Disparities in Gestational Diabetes Among Pregnant Women in New York City, 1990–2001

    Lorna E Thorpe, Diana Berger et al.•American Journal of Public Health•2005

  • From “Thrifty Genotype” to “Hefty Fetal Phenotype”

    Open Access•Roland Dyck, Roland F Dyck et al.•Canadian Journal of Public Health•2001

Unique citing works8
Citations per year0,62
Citation span2013 - 2022 (10)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 8

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