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Availability and Sales of Alcohol in Four Canadian Provinces

A Time-Series Analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID11057067
AuthorsBjörn Trolldal (0000-0002-0785-8515, corresponding author)
Year2005
Volume32
Issue3
Pages343-372
Publication date2005-09-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueContemporary Drug Problems (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0091-4509 • E-ISSN: 2163-1808
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/009145090503200302
OpenAlexW2141453735
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited23

The research question addressed in the present study, with ARIMA time-series analyses, was the extent to which changes in economic and physical availability had an effect on sales of alcohol in four Canadian provinces during the second half of the 20th century. The annual sales, by type of beverage (spirits, wine and beer) as well as total sales, measured in pure alcohol per inhabitant age 15 and above in each province, were used as dependent variables in the analyses. The inhabitants' real disposable income, the real price of alcohol, and the number of on- and off-premise outlets per 100,000 inhabitants were used as independent variables. All the time-series were differenced to remove long-term trends. The main study period was 1951–2000. In some of the analyses the study periods were shorter, primarily due to lack of data. Changes in economic availability in general, and in price in particular, had larger effects on sales than physical availability. Among the beverages analyzed in the study, the demand for spirits was most sensitive to changes in availability. Economic availability had a greater effect on sales than the number of outlets. However, one might question to what extent the number of outlets really is a feasible measure of transaction costs associated with purchases of alcohol

Agricultural economics · Autoregressive integrated moving average · Business · Economics · Statistics · Time series · Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets · Horticultural and Viticultural Research · Mathematics · Wine Industry and Tourism

  • Changing the density of alcohol outlets to reduce alcohol‐related problems

    Open Access•Michael Livingston, Tanya Chikritzhs et al.•Drug and Alcohol Review•2007

  • Applied time series analysis for the social sciences

    Richard Mccleary•Applied time series analysis for…•1980

  • Alcohol: No Ordinary Commodity

    Thomas F Babor, Thomas Babor et al.•Alcohol•2003

  • Spurious regressions in econometrics

    Open Access•Clive W J Granger, Paul Newbold•Journal of Econometrics•1974

  • Estimation of Demand for Alcoholic Beverages in Canada From Pooled Time Series and Cross Sections

    James A Johnson, Ernest H Oksanen•The Review of Economics and…•1977

Citations per year0.05
Citation span2007 - 2007 (1)
Highly citedNo

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