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Are Forced Migrants More Skilled

A Theoretical Model of Self-Selection in Forced Migration

Bibliographic Data

ID11102002
AuthorsNermin Oruč (0000-0001-5026-9153, Center for Development Evaluation and Social Science Research, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina, [email protected], corresponding author), Ian Jackson (0000-0001-5652-9091, University of Wolverhampton, UK, [email protected]), Geoff Pugh (0000-0002-9596-1757, University of Staffordshire), Geoffrey Pugh (Staffordshire University, Stoke-on-Trent, UK, [email protected])
Year2019
Volume43
Issue3
Pages231-254
Publication date2019-12-10
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueSoutheastern Europe (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0094-4467 • E-ISSN: 1876-3332
PublisherWalter de Gruyter GmbH (PUBLISHER • DE)
DOI10.1163/18763332-04303002
OpenAlexW2995643010
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited10

This article fills a gap in theories of forced migration. We present a new model, motivated by specific features of forced migration during a conflict which do not feature in existing migration models. We incorporate the relative deprivation hypothesis and a new “restoration” hypothesis in order to better explain forced migration as a two-stage process, which starts with conflict and, in some cases, forced displacement in the first stage and continues with emigration in the second stage. A particular feature of our model is that it predicts self-selection of highly skilled individuals into international migration as a result of conflict, since the “restoration” hypothesis assumes that individuals with higher income before conflict are most under pressure to restore their previous income through emigration. The model used in this article to analyse conflict-induced migration could also motivate further modelling to better match the characteristics of migration induced by natural disasters (which are expected to increase in the future as a result of climate change) as well as by large development projects

Demographic economics · Development economics · Displacement (psychology · Economics · Emigration · Forced migration · Political science · Refugee · Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration · Law · Migration and Labor Dynamics · Psychology · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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