Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Attacking the Leader, Missing the Mark

Why Terrorist Groups Survive Decapitation Strikes

Bibliographic Data

ID11261997
AuthorsJenna Jordan (0000-0001-9246-5355, Assistant Professor of International Affairs at the Sam Nunn School of International Affairs at Georgia Institute of Technology., corresponding author)
Year2014
Volume38
Issue4
Pages7-38
Publication date2014-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Security (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0162-2889 • E-ISSN: 1531-4804
PublisherMIT Press - Journals (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1162/isec_a_00157
OpenAlexW2027689886
LanguageEN
Citations received60
References cited45

Leadership targeting has become a key feature of counterterrorism policy. Both academics and policymakers have argued that the removal of leaders is an effective strategy in combating terrorism. Leadership decapitation is not always successful, however, and existing empirical work does not account for this variability. A theory of organizational resilience explains why decapitation results in the decline of some terrorist organizations and the survival of others. Organizational resilience is dependent on two variables: bureaucratization and communal support. Older and larger organizations tend to develop bureaucratic features, facilitating a clear succession process and increasing their stability and ability to withstand attacks on their leadership. Communal support plays an important role in providing the resources necessary for terrorist groups to function and survive. Religious and separatist groups typically enjoy a high degree of support from the communities in which they operate, and thus access to critical resources. Application of this theoretical model to the case of al-Qaida reveals that Osama bin Laden's death and the subsequent targeting of other high-level al-Qaida operatives are unlikely to produce significant organizational decline

Biology · Bureaucracy · Criminology · Function (biology · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Psychological resilience · Public relations · Resilience (materials science · Sociology · Terrorism · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

  • Isil, insurgent strategies for statehood, and the challenge for security studies

    Noriyuki Katagiri•Small Wars and Insurgencies•2015

  • What's in it for us? Armed drone strikes and the security of Somalia's Federal Government

    Brendon J Cannon•Small Wars and Insurgencies•2020

  • Provokante Kommunikation

    Open Access•Sebastian Lange•Provokante Kommunikation•2019

  • US Strikes in Somalia and Targeted Civilian Killings by Al-Shabaab

    Open Access•Bryce W Reeder, J R Smith•Foreign Policy Analysis•2019

  • Rethinking Intersections of Crime and Terrorism

    Open Access•Mariya Y Omelicheva, Lawrence P Markowitz•International Studies Review•2021

  • The denying threat to national security and defense

    Open Access•David Andrés Londoño Bedoya, Maritza Padilla-Bueno et al.•Cogent Social Sciences•2025

  • Gap analysis of Pakistan’s non-kinetic responses to violent extremism

    Open Access•Khuram Iqbal, Muneeb Salman•Cogent Social Sciences•2023

  • Terörle Mücadelede Dekapitasyonun İşlevsizliği ve Sonuçları

    Çağatay Balcı•Uluslararası Suçlar ve Tarih•2025

  • Comparing operational terrorist networks

    Open Access•Matteo Gregori, Ugo Merlone•Trends in Organized Crime•2020

  • Beyond Manoeuvre Theory for European Defence

    Open Access•Lukas Mengelkamp, Sam Vincent•Global Policy•2026

  • Toward Successful Coin

    Darren Colby•The US Army War College Quarterly…•2021

  • Drones, Afghanistan, and beyond

    Open Access•James Michael Page, John Allen Williams•European Journal of International…•2021

  • Replacing the standard bearer

    Open Access•Mark Youngman, Cerwyn Moore•European Journal of International…•2023

  • How teams adapt to exogenous shocks

    Open Access•Jared F Edgerton, Skyler J Cranmer et al.•Network Science•2022

  • The Evolving Kurdish Question in Turkey

    Mehmet Gurses•Middle East Critique•2020

  • Successful for whom

    Daren Fisher, Marshall H Becker•Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism…•2023

  • Příčiny a logika sebevražedného terorismu podle Roberta A. Papea. Kritické uvedení do jedné ambiciózní teorie

    Open Access•Karel Černý•HISTORICKÁ SOCIOLOGIE•2017

  • Dealing with uncertainty

    Eric van Um, Daniela Pisoiu•Critical Studies on Terrorism•2014

  • Triangulating territory

    Open Access•Burak Kadercan•International Theory•2015

  • The evolution of war

    Open Access•Anthony C Lopez•International Theory•2015

  • The portrayal of drones in terrorist propaganda

    Jan Andre Lee Ludvigsen•Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict•2018

  • The paradox of violent leaders and organizational structures

    Michael D Freeman, Michael Freeman et al.•Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict•2024

  • Examining the counterinsurgency-counterterrorism tradeoff

    Brittnee Carter, Thomas R Guarrieri et al.•Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict•2024

  • Reflections on a research agenda

    Amanda Murdie•Journal of Human Rights•2025

  • Frogmen and pirates

    Troels Burchall Henningsen•Defence Studies•2021

  • Can drones coerce? The effects of remote aerial coercion in counterterrorism

    Open Access•Kelly A Grieco, J Wesley Hutto•International Politics•2021

  • International society’s challenge of targeted killing by drones

    Open Access•Jodok Troy•International Politics•2017

  • The transformation of targeted killing and international order

    Open Access•Martin Senn, Jodok Troy•Arms Control•2017

  • The evolution of targeted killing practices

    Michael Haas, Michael Carl Haas et al.•Arms Control•2017

  • How Do Leadership Decapitation and Targeting Error Affect Suicide Bombings? The Case of Al-Shabaab

    Mohammed Ibrahim Shire•Studies in Conflict and Terrorism•2020

  • The case for drones in counter-insurgency operations in West African Sahel

    Francis N Okpaleke, Bernard Nwosu et al.•African Security Review•2023

  • Lasting peace or temporary calm? Rebel group decapitation and civil war outcomes

    Open Access•Kirssa Cline Ryckman•Conflict Management and Peace…•2017

  • Organizational context matters

    Open Access•Yasutaka Tominaga•Conflict Management and Peace…•2019

  • Too central to fail? Terror networks and leadership decapitation

    Daniel Milton, D J Milton et al.•International Interactions•2020

  • Foreign Terrorist Organization designation, international cooperation, and terrorism

    Barbara J Phillips•International Interactions•2018

  • Evaluating the impact of repeated leadership targeting on militant group durability

    Yasutaka Tominaga•International Interactions•2019

  • Understanding the Islamic State—A Review Essay

    Daniel Byman•International Security•2016

  • What Explains Counterterrorism Effectiveness? Evidence from the U.S. Drone War in Pakistan

    Asfandyar Mir•International Security•2018

  • Cheap fights, credible threats

    Amy Zegart•Journal of Strategic Studies•2020

  • Drone Strikes and Grand Strategy

    Jacqueline L Hazelton•Journal of Strategic Studies•2017

  • The rise of targeted killing

    James I Walsh•Journal of Strategic Studies•2018

  • Por qué los rebeldes dejan de luchar? Declive organizacional y deserción en la insurgencia de Colombia

    Open Access•Enzo Nussio, Juan E Ugarriza•Colombia Internacional•2022

  • Drones y el orden legal internacional. Tecnología, estrategia y largas cadenas de acción

    Open Access•Jochen Kleinschmidt•Colombia Internacional•2015

  • Gone with the wind

    Open Access•Rafat Mahmood, Michael Jetter•The Economic Journal•2023

  • How Does Leadership Decapitation Affect Violence? The Case of Drug Trafficking Organizations in Mexico

    Barbara J Phillips, Brian J Phillips•The Journal of Politics•2015

  • Leadership Targeting and Militant Alliance Breakdown

    Christopher W Blair, Michael C Horowitz et al.•The Journal of Politics•2022

  • Emotionally Coping with Terrorism

    Open Access•Antoine J Banks, Heather M Hicks et al.•Public Opinion Quarterly•2023

  • Carrots, Sticks, and Insurgent Targeting of Civilians

    Open Access•Victor Asal, Barbara J Phillips et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2019

  • Structure and Performance in a Violent Extremist Network

    Open Access•Michael Kenney, Stephen Coulthart et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2017

  • Targeting Quality or Quantity? The Divergent Effects of Targeting Upper Verses Lower-Tier Leaders of Militant Organizations

    Open Access•Amira Jadoon, Andrew Mines et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2023

  • The Impact of US Drone Strikes on Terrorism in Pakistan

    Patrick B Johnston, Anoop K Sarbahi et al.•International Studies Quarterly•2016

  • Drones, Surveillance, and Violence

    Open Access•Asfandyar Mir, Dylan Moore•International Studies Quarterly•2019

  • Do Armed Drones Counter Terrorism, Or Are They Counterproductive? Evidence from Eighteen Countries

    Open Access•Joshua A Schwartz, Matthew Fuhrmann et al.•International Studies Quarterly•2022

  • Do Emerging Military Technologies Matter for International Politics

    Open Access•Michael C Horowitz•Annual Review of Political Science•2020

  • Estimating the Impact of Drone Strikes on Civilians Using Call Detail Records

    Open Access•Paolo Bertolotti, Aidan Milliff et al.•British Journal of Political…•2025

  • Making al-Qa’ida legible

    Open Access•Sarah G Phillips•European Journal of International…•2019

  • Israeli targeted killing operations before and during the Second Intifada

    Oldrich Bures, Andrew J Hawkins et al.•Small Wars and Insurgencies•2020

  • Target Practice

    Open Access•Jon R Lindsay•Science Technology & Human Values•2017

  • The drawbacks of drones

    Open Access•Erik Gartzke, James I Walsh•Journal of Peace Research•2022

  • The Drug Kingpin Decapitation Strategy in Guatemala

    Open Access•Charles D Brockett•Latin American Politics and Society•2019

  • The Terrorist's Dilemma

    Jacob N Shapiro•Terrorist's Dilemma•2013

  • Structural embeddedness and the liability of newness among nonprofit organizations

    Mark A Hager, J Galaskiewicz et al.•Public Management Review•2004

  • Religion, terrorism and public goods

    Open Access•Eli Berman, David D Laitin•Journal of Public Economics•2008

  • The Theory Of Social And Economic Organization

    Max Weber•The Theory Of Social And Economic…•1997

  • Handbook of Organizations (RLE

    James G March, James March•Handbook of Organizations•2013

  • Dying to Win

    Open Access•Robert A Pape•Theory and Practice of Islamic…•2008

  • Root Causes of Suicide Terrorism

    Ami Pedahzur•Root Causes Of Suicide Terrorism•2006

  • The Bureaucratic Phenomenon

    Michel Crozier, Erhard Friedberg•The bureaucratic phenomenon•2017

  • Greed and grievance in civil war

    Paul Collier•Oxford Economic Papers•2004

  • All Struggles Must End

    Jodi Vittori•Arms Control•2009

  • Militant Recruitment in Pakistan

    Carol Christine Fair•Studies in Conflict and Terrorism•2004

  • Terrorism and Counterterrorism

    David Veness•Studies in Conflict and Terrorism•2001

  • Hamas

    Ziad Abu-Amr, Ziad Abu–amr•Journal of Palestine Studies•1993

  • H amas after S haykh Y asin and R antisi

    Khaled Hroub•Journal of Palestine Studies•2004

  • The Battle for Reform with Al-Qaeda

    Juan C Zarate, David A Gordon•The Washington Quarterly•2011

  • Targeting Top Terrorists

    Bryan C Price, Bryan Price•International Security•2012

  • Understanding Support for Islamist Militancy in Pakistan

    Jacob N Shapiro, Carol Christine Fair•International Security•2010

  • Does Decapitation Work? Assessing the Effectiveness of Leadership Targeting in Counterinsurgency Campaigns

    Patrick B Johnston•International Security•2012

  • Inside Al Qaeda

    Rohan Gunaratna, Rohan Kumar Gunaratna•Inside Al Qaeda•2002

  • Moral Hazard, Discipline, and the Management of Terrorist Organizations

    Open Access•Jacob N Shapiro, David A Siegel•World Politics•2012

  • Fighting by other Means in the Mideast

    Open Access•M L Gro•Political Studies•2003

  • Resources and the Information Problem in Rebel Recruitment

    Open Access•Jeremy M Weinstein•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2005

  • The demand for international regimes

    Open Access•Robert O Keohane•International Organization•1982

  • When Heads Roll

    Jenna Jordan•Security Studies•2009

  • A Theory of Group Stability

    K M Carley, Kathleen Carley•American Sociological Review•1991

  • The Liability of Newness

    J H Freeman, John Freeman et al.•American Sociological Review•1983

  • Bigger May be Better, But is Older Wiser? Organizational Age and Size in the New York Life Insurance Industry

    James Ranger-Moore, James Ranger‐moore•American Sociological Review•1997

  • Tales From the Grave

    Open Access•Mark Hager, Mark A Hager et al.•American Behavioral Scientist•1996

  • Ideology in Context

    Open Access•James Ron•Journal of Peace Research•2001

  • Islam, Militancy, and Politics in Pakistan

    Carol Christine Fair, N Malhotra et al.•Terrorism and Political Violence•2010

  • Do Drone Strikes Degrade Al Qaeda? Evidence From Propaganda Output

    Megan L Smith, Megan Smith et al.•Terrorism and Political Violence•2013

  • Do Targeted Killings Work

    Daniel Byman•Foreign Affairs•2006

  • The Changing Nature of Suicide Attacks

    Ami Pedahzur, Arie Perliger•Social Forces•2006

  • From Max Weber

    Max Weber, H H Gerth et al.•From Max Weber•2014

  • The Population Ecology of Organizations

    Michael T Hannan, J H Freeman et al.•American Journal of Sociology•1977

Unique citing works60
Citations per year5
Citation span2014 - 2026 (13)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 58
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae