System dynamics modeling of social sustainability in circular construction transitions
Causal loop analysis of stakeholder engagement mechanisms from selected developing countries' perspective
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 11370545 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Nasrullah Khan (0000-0002-0447-572X, autor correspondente), Nadar Khan (0000-0002-8276-8691), Khurram Iqbal Ahmad Khan (0000-0003-2157-6191), Hilal Khan (0009-0005-6661-0551) |
| Ano | 2026 |
| Volume | 117 |
| Páginas | 108197 |
| Data de publicação | 2026-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | Environmental Impact Assessment Review (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 0195-9255 • E-ISSN: 1873-6432 |
| Editora | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108197 |
| OpenAlex | W4414717583 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 5 |
| Referências citadas | 80 |
The construction industry's transition toward circular economy principles in developing countries faces significant implementation challenges, with existing research predominantly focusing on technical and economic dimensions while critically neglecting social impact mechanisms and community-level consequences that determine long-term sustainability outcomes. This study developed a comprehensive system dynamics framework to analyze complex interdependencies between circular construction practices and social outcomes in developing country contexts, employing mixed-methods methodology integrating systematic literature review, expert surveys ( N = 134), and dynamic modeling to examine causal relationships governing community well-being, employment generation, and social equity. Through factor prioritization analysis of 61 expert responses and statistical examination of 210 cause-effect relationships, the research identified 20 statistically significant causal connections (mean values 4.0–5.0) and developed validated system dynamics models comprising four reinforcing loops and two balancing loops. Key findings revealed Local Employment as the highest-ranked social factor (normalized score 0.0582), demonstrated accelerating Community Education patterns indicating compounding returns, and established that developing countries exhibit greater dependence on government responsiveness versus market-driven mechanisms documented in European contexts. This research provides essential theoretical foundations for socially inclusive circular construction implementation strategies while offering validated system dynamics methodology for analyzing complex social-technical transitions in resource-constrained environments. • System dynamics model reveals four reinforcing loops governing social impacts. • Local employment emerges as highest-ranked circular construction social factor. • Developing countries show greater government dependence than market mechanisms. • Educational investments demonstrate accelerating returns in community acceptance
Causal loop diagram · Loop (graph theory · Perspective (graphical · Social sustainability · Stakeholder · Stakeholder engagement · Sustainability · System dynamics · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy · Sustainable Supply Chain Management
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| Obras citantes distintas | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 5 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2026 - 2026 (1) |
| Velocidade de citação | current |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 5 |